Fantasy baseball pitcher rankings, lineup advice for Wednesday's MLB games

Dylan Bundy of the Minnesota Twins gets an easy opponent on Wednesday in the Detroit Tigers. Getty Images

Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, hitter upgrades and downgrades daily to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and for MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.

Note: This file has been updated with any overnight pitching changes or weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.

What you need to know for Wednesday's MLB games

By Todd Zola

  • Just behind Detmers is Dylan Bundy (26%), whose Minnesota Twins host the feeble Detroit Tigers lineup. After starting the season with three solid efforts, Bundy has struggled over his past three outings. However, the Tigers and their .260 wOBA facing righties is the perfect panacea. Rich Hill (4%) is also in play for the surging Boston Red Sox, but his road date with the Chicago White Sox is risky.

  • Although our focus here is usually daily advice, occasionally a situation warrants longer-term attention. Such is the case in the Bronx with closer Aroldis Chapman ailing because of left ankle tendinitis. Clay Holmes has emerged as the clear replacement for the Yankees and is available in just under 50% of ESPN leagues. Those searching for another solid starting pitcher should consider Aaron Ashby (6%), as he'll be filling in for the injured Freddy Peralta. Ashby has been used in a swingman capacity, which is partially responsible for his bloated 13.8% walk rate. However, he's fanning batters at a 27.6% clip. With a regular routine of starting, look for Ashby to improve his control while maintaining a high strikeout rate. Wednesday's date with the San Diego Padres in Petco Park is risky, but Ashby has the stuff to be more than a pitch-and-ditch hurler.

Starting pitcher rankings for Wednesday

Best sub-50%-rostered hitters for Wednesday

Best and worst hitters from the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more.

Worst over-50%-rostered hitters for Wednesday

THE BAT X's Best Stacks for Wednesday

Prop of the Day

Cal Quantrill strikeouts: Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105)


THE BAT X sees Quantrill putting up 2.8 strikeouts for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 38.7% of the time. THE BAT X believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $25.76.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


  • Minute Maid Park grades out as the No. 3 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to THE BAT X projection system.

  • Projected catcher Austin Hedges grades out as an elite pitch framer, per THE BAT X projection system.


  • The Astros (19.4 K%, via THE BAT X) project to have the second-least strikeout-heavy lineup today.

  • The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest six degrees hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today - favorable for offense.