Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, hitter upgrades and downgrades daily to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and for MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is geared towards ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: This file will be updated with overnight pitching changes and weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.
What you need to know for Monday's MLB Games
By Todd Zola
Monday's nine-game docket commences in Kauffmann Stadium for a makeup matinee at 2:10 PM ET. Michael Kopech is scheduled to take the hill for the visiting Chicago White while the Kansas City Royals will counter with Daniel Lynch. Kopech's conversion to starter has gone according to plan. He's pacing for around 150, twice what he threw last season as a reliever. Lynch (2% rostered in ESPN leagues) has navigated a rocky sophomore campaign, though he's pitched to a 2.82 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in August, fanning 18 with only five walks in 22 1/3 innings this month. The White Sox handle southpaws well, so backing Lynch is a risk, but it would add a little intrigue to the only game played in the afternoon.
Looking ahead, Fantasy Week 19 has only 93 games, so it behooves sage managers to take advantage of favorable early week streaming opportunities since the supply towards the end will trail the demand. Jeffrey Springs is the day's fourth ranked pitcher. He's available in 65% of ESPN leagues, so Springs gets the nod as the top streamer. The Tampa Bay Rays host the Los Angeles Angels, but even with Mike Trout back in the lineup, the Halos lineup is vulnerable to lefthanded pitching while offering a chance for Springs to improve on his already above average 26.5% strikeout rate.
Edward Cabrera checks in as the eighth ranked pitcher for the Miami Marlins visit to the Bay Area for the interleague tilt with the Oakland Athletics. If Cabrera were healthy all season, his rostership would be at least twice the current 38% level. The 24-year-old righty has yet to allow a run since coming off the IL in early August, punching out 21 in 14 2/3 innings. Excepting more scoreless frames is aggressive, but the Athletics sport the second lowest wOBA with a righty on the hill, so Cabrera is in a favorable position to continue to streak.
The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals open a five-game series in Wrigley Field featuring a Tuesday doubleheader. It's always advantageous to target relievers during twin bills, so picking up Cubs closer Rowan Wick (11%) and holding him for Tuesday could prove fruitful. Doubling down with Brandon Hughes (1%) is a viable approach. Cardinals closer Ryan Helsley is on paternity leave, but he should be back for Monday's NL Central affair.
However, he last pitched on August 16 so with a busy stretch coming up, hedging with Giovanny Gallegos (65%) or Genesis Cabrera (1%) makes sense. Nico Horner (38%) from the Cubs and Lars Nootbaar (2%) from the Cardinals have the best chance to appear to play Monday then appear in both games on Tuesday.
Noah Syndergaard has been on the hill for 28 stolen bases in his 18 starts. Even with J.T. Realmuto behind the plate for the Philadelphia Phillies, teams run on Syndergaard. On Monday, the Cincinnati Reds visit the City of Brotherly Love. TJ Friedl, Matt Reynolds, Nick Senzel and Jose Barrero are all widely available with the best chance to take advantage of the Phillies battery.
Starting pitcher rankings for Monday
Best Sub-50% Rostered Hitters for Monday
Harold Ramirez (TB, LF -- 13%) vs. Davidson
Isaac Paredes (TB, 2B -- 13%) vs. Davidson
Best and worst hitters from the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more.
Worst Over-50% Rostered Hitters for Monday
Willy Adames (MIL, SS -- 88%) at Urias
DJ LeMahieu (NYY, 2B -- 99%) vs. Scherzer
Nathaniel Lowe (TEX, 1B -- 57%) at Gray
THE BAT X's Best Stacks for Today
Atlanta Braves at Roansy Contreras
Prop of the Day
Drew Smyly Earned Runs: Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110)
THE BAT sees Smyly putting up 2.46 earned runs for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 40.1% of the time. THE BAT believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $25.83.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.