Editor's note: These rankings will be continuously updated throughout the preseason, so check back often.
Back in July, I posted an initial look at my top 200 rankings for the 2015-16 fantasy hoops season and broke down how the top rookies and some of the players who changed teams via free agency might fit in. Since then, I spent several weeks creating projections for those players. Predictably, that process and news that has broken in the interim have had a significant impact on my rankings.
Before we look at my latest top 200, let's break down how you should read them.
To begin with, this is not a list of where I expect players to be taken. If you want to get a feel for where a certain player might go in your draft, check out our ESPN average draft position (ADP) results.
My top 200 shows where I generally would take a player compared to the player before and after him on the list. It is important to note that we do not draft players in a one-versus-one vacuum, though. We construct teams, and many factors will come into play on draft day. So while I might prefer an injury-prone center over an iron-man center, I might take the iron man first if I already have invested in several risky players. Or if I have drafted several shot-blockers early, I might rocket some 3-point specialist up my list as the draft moves along.
Also, there are a couple of factors I stress more than others might: youthful talent over aging veterans, and weighted percentages.
I'm always more willing to invest in players whose career arcs are on the rise, even if I have to reach a round or two to get them. I want steady veterans, too, but leagues are typically won by targeting a few youngsters on the come and hitting a statistical jackpot or two. Plus, I'd rather have my risk tied up in whether a talented young player I believe in matches my expectations, rather than whether an aging veteran fades away or gets injured. As a result, you'll see I tend to bump young talent up over veterans in my ranks.
By "weighted percentages" I mean it is critical that you consider how many field goal and free throw attempts a player takes, not just their FG percentage and FT percentage. For instance, a player who shoots 50 FG% and 80 FT% is going to be helpful, but if he takes only 9.8 FGA and 2.2 FTA, his impact will be limited. You might be better off taking a player who shoots 41 FG% and 80 FT%, if he takes a manageable 9.8 FGA and an impactful 6.1 FTA.
Those percentages play into another important fact: These are roto rankings. In points leagues, one-stat specialists like 3-point maven Kyle Korver will sink in the rankings, because his overall value is very limited -- i.e., 12 PPG, 2.9 3-PPG, 48.7 FG% (8.0 FGA) and 89.8 (1.6 FTA) doesn't really add up to that much in a points system. His 3-point production alone is what gives him value in roto leagues.
On the flip side, consider a player like DeAndre Jordan, whose horrific weighted free throw shooting (38.1 FG%, 8.7 FTA after the break last season) renders him nearly unusable in roto systems, because you need to be competitive in every category in order to win your league. He will move up the rankings in points leagues, because individual categories don't matter; his free throw issues will simply cap his overall value.
He also would get a bump in head-to-head roto formats, if you choose to punt free throws, a move you can't really do in season-long roto systems, at least if you intend to come in first.
Of course, my rankings will remain fluid in the coming weeks as NBA rosters and roles are fleshed out, so stay tuned for updates. I welcome feedback @AtomicHarpua, so let me know what you think.