Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Tuesday

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for January 10th are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10-team leagues.

Puzzle Pieces: Sometimes all the trends come together in one spot and the opening lines for this Cavs/Jazz game happens to be one of them. This season, overs are 11-6 when Cleveland is favored by fewer than five points, 8-5 when Utah is an underdog by fewer than five points and 14-5-1 when Utah plays a game with a total between 222-232 (something they've done for roughly half of their games). Oh, and did I mention that over tickets have cashed in seven of the Cavs last 10 games?

Pace Of Play: Overs are 18-11 (including 9-3 over the past 12) in games that feature a double digit favorite that owns a below league average pace playing an above average team pace. Where the line lands will depend on the status of Joel Embiid, but as of this posting, the 76ers/Pistons game qualifies as such a spot.

Feeling The Heat: Miami is an impressive 8-3 ATS over their past 11 games with a spread of fewer than five points while Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in their five road games this season with a sub-5-point spread (extra credit: between those 11 Heat games and five Thunder games, unders are 11-5).

Big Spreads: There are a few big spreads on the board tonight, so it's worth noting that totals are trending toward overs in those spots. After unders opened the season 11-7 (61.1%) in the first 18 games with double digit spreads, overs are 29-22-1 (56.9%) since

Beef Stew: Not only does Isaiah Stewart have one of the league's best nicknames with the hilarious "Beef Stew" moniker, he's one of the best values at the center position this evening given the Pistons won't have rebounding force Jalen Duren in the lineup against the Sixers. Detroit has also ruled out Bojan Bogdanovic due to calf soreness, vaulting Saddiq Bey into a vital scoring role. Stewart is found at just $5,100 on DraftKings, while there's still time to roster Killian Hayes (73% available in ESPN leagues) as an elite source of assist production. Hayes, after all, has slashed for 17.7 points, 8.7 assists, and three steals over the past week.

Jalen and Jalen: The Hornets won't have Kelly Oubre Jr. in the lineup against the Raptors tonight. Gordon Hayward is listed as doubtful, which means another rewarding role for Jalen McDaniels (88% available in ESPN leagues). Jaden's brother has averaged 14.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, and an awesome three combined steals and blocks during the last week in an elevated role for Charlotte. We also find Jalen Williams thriving for the Thunder, as the rookie is a free agent in more than 80% of ESPN leagues despite averaging 3.8 combined steals and blocks during the past week. Both of these underappreciated defensive options stand out as worthy additions ahead of this seven-game slate.

-- Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Game of the night

Oklahoma City Thunder at Miami Heat
7 p.m ET, FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

Line: Heat (-4)
Money line: Heat (-135), Thunder (+115)
Total: 223 points
BPI Projected Total: 234.3 points
BPI Win%: Heat (58.2%)

Questionable: Dewayne Dedmon, Gabe Vincent
Ruled Out: Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Omer Yurtseven
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Max Strus (rostered in 9.4% of ESPN leagues) should have an expanded role on Tuesday night with Kyle Lowry ruled out due to left knee discomfort. In five consecutive games, he has scored 23 or more fantasy points, including two over 30 points. A fantasy manager looking for a streamer in a deeper format should not overlook Strus. -- Eric Moody

Best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 29.5 points. In three consecutive games, Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30 or more points. In terms of pace, the Heat rank near the bottom of the league and in terms of points allowed per 100 possessions, they rank eighth. Furthermore, Miami has done an excellent job containing point guards this season. -- Moody

Best bet: Josh Giddey over 22.5 points + rebounds. Giddey is set up for a monster game against the Heat. His last six games have averaged 18.7 points and 6.7 rebounds. With Aleksej Pokusevski and Jeremiah Robinson-Earl out, Giddey will be relied on early and often for the Thunder. -- Moody

Breaking down the rest of the slate

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers
7 p.m. ET, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Pennsylvania

Line: 76ers (-12.5)
Money line: 76ers (-800), Pistons (+550)
Total: 226 points
BPI Projected Total: 233.4 points
BPI Win%: 76ers (92.1%)

Questionable: Joel Embiid, P.J. Tucker
Ruled Out: Jalen Duren, Bojan Bogdanovic, Marvin Bagley III
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Isaiah Stewart (rostered in 18.1% of ESPN leagues) is a very good streamer with Bojan Bogdanovic already ruled out of Tuesday's game due to left calf soreness. Marvin Bagley and Jalen Duren are also injured. Against the 76ers, Stewart should receive a lot of playing time. In the last three games, he averaged 14.7 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 2.0 assists. -- Moody

Best bet: Killian Hayes over 21.5 total points + assists. Hayes has been stepping into a larger role for a while, and with Bojan Bogdanovic out he'll have to do even more on Tuesday. He has had more than 21.5 combined points and assists in five straight games where he wasn't ejected after 16 minutes, including 32 combined against this same 76ers team on Sunday. -- Andre Snellings

Charlotte Hornets at Toronto Raptors
7:30 p.m. ET, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario, Canda

Line: Raptors (-7.5)
Money line: Raptors (-320), Hornets (+250)
Total: 230 points
BPI Projected Total: 234.7 points
BPI Win%: Raptors (74.5%)

Questionable: Jusuf Nurkic
Ruled Out: Gordon Hayward, Kelly Oubre Jr., Gary Payton II, Nassir Little, Justise Winslow
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Mason Plumlee (rostered in 49.1% of ESPN leagues) continues to exceed the expectations of fantasy managers. In the last five games, he has averaged 16.4 points and 12.4 rebounds. Don't overlook Plumlee if you need a center. -- Moody

Best bet: O.G. Anunoby over 1.5 steals. Anunoby has surpassed 1.5 steals in four of his last five games. There is a strong chance this trend will continue against a Hornets team that ranks 25th in points allowed per 100 possessions. -- Moody

Best bet: Pascal Siakam over 40.5 points + assists + rebounds. This season, Siakam has been superb for the Raptors. In the last 11 games, he has averaged 28.4 points, 5.8 assists, and 8.1 rebounds. The Hornets have been eviscerated by centers all season, so Siakam should have a great deal of success against them. -- Moody

Best bet: LaMelo Ball over 3.5 turnovers. He'll be handling the basketball a lot since he's the point guard. Ball has had a usage rate of 31.4% this season. As a team, the Raptors rank 11th in points allowed per 100 possessions, and they lead the league in forcing turnovers. -- Moody

Best bet: LaMelo Ball over 8.5 assists. Ball has double-digit assists in three of five games, and the only reason he didn't get there in his most recent game was because he dealt with foul trouble, and played only 25 minutes at Indiana. Ball is an elite passer and should get to double-digits again at Toronto. -- Eric Karabell

Cleveland Cavaliers at Utah Jazz
9 p.m. ET, Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah

Line: Cavaliers (-2.5)
Money line: Cavaliers (-150), Jazz (+126)
Total: 226.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 235.5 points
BPI Win%: Cavaliers (57.8%)

Ruled Out: Kelly Olynyk, Talen Horton-Tucker, Collin Sexton
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Walker Kessler (rostered in 12.0% of ESPN leagues) Kessler is back on the streaming radar with Kelly Olynyk already ruled out due to a left ankle sprain. This season, he averages 14.3 points and 14.0 rebounds per 40 minutes. -- Moody

Best bet: Darius Garland over 27.5 points + assists. In the last two games, Garland has surpassed 27.5 PA. With the Jazz ranking 27th in points allowed per 100 possessions, he should have success. This season, Utah has also allowed the fifth most points per game to point guards. -- Moody

Best bet: Donovan Mitchell over 28.5 points. This is Mitchell's much-discussed homecoming game back in Utah, where he spent five productive seasons, and while he probably falls short of scoring 71 points, as he did against the Bulls last week, bet on him being motivated enough to top his season average, which is near this line. -- Karabell

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors
10 p.m. ET, Chase Center, San Francisco, California

Line: Warriors (-11)
Money line: Warriors (-650), Suns (+460)
Total: 229.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 235 points
BPI Win%: Warriors (80.5%)

Questionable: Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Torrey Craig, Landry Shamet, Deandre Ayton
Ruled Out: James Wiseman, Jonathan Kuminga, JaMychal Green, Chris Paul, Cameron Payne, Devin Booker
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Orlando Magic at Portland Trail Blazers
10 p.m. ET, Moda Center, Portland, Oregon

Line: Blazers (-7.5)
Money line: Blazers (-305), Magic (+240)
Total: 229 points
BPI Projected Total: 236.7 points
BPI Win%: Blazers (74.5%)

Questionable: Jusuf Nurkic
Ruled Out: Gary Payton II, Nassir Little, Justise Winslow
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Markelle Fultz (rostered in 37.8% of ESPN leagues) Fultz delivered a 54-point fantasy game over the weekend at Golden State, thanks in part to six steals, and he has topped 25 fantasy points in 12 of 13 contests. Fultz should thrive again Tuesday at Portland and he really needs to be on more fantasy rosters. -- Karabell

Best bet: Damian Lillard over 36.5 points + assists. Over the last five games, Lillard has averaged 26.6 points and 7.4 assists. Against a Magic team that ranks 21st in points allowed per 100 possessions, he should have success. -- Moody

Best bet: Paolo Banchero over 20.5 points. Banchero only got 11 field goal attempts on Monday in a blowout loss to the Kings, which led to him scoring his fewest points in the calendar year with 17. In the four games prior, he had averaged 25.3 PPG on 20.3 FGA while going over 20.5 points in all four games. I look for him to bounce back on Tuesday against the Trail Blazers. -- Snellings

Dallas Mavericks at LA Clippers
10:30 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California

Line: Clippers (PICK)
Money line: Mavericks (-110), Clippers (-110)
Total: 221.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 228.5 points
BPI Win%: Clippers (62.5%)

Questionable: Luka Doncic
Ruled Out: Josh Green, Dorian Finney-Smith, Maxi Kleber
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play