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Fantasy football insights with Watson for Week 17

Ryan Tannehill started the season as the Titan's backup, undrafted in fantasy. Now his team is on the cusp of the playoffs, with the matchup and motivation to help fantasy teams win their final game as well. Steve Roberts/Icon Sportswire

For those who are looking for a tool to concentrate various web opinions into one location in order to help make roster moves, IBM offers Watson's Insights as an unsupervised, quantitative supplement to the more in-depth, personalized analysis that you would normally expect from an ESPN analyst.

IBM Insights uses Watson AI to analyze thousands of fantasy articles, blogs, websites and podcasts and provide support data to assist with fantasy football decisions. Watson outputs an estimated scoring range for each player, as well as projecting the chances that a player will exceed the upside estimate (e.g. "boom") or fall short of the low end estimate (e.g. "bust") on any given week.

The following article points out a few notable insights from Watson for Week 17 of the 2019 NFL season, as of early Friday afternoon.

Quarterback decisions

While quarterbacks can provide some of the best fantasy value in a given week, it can be difficult to decide beforehand which one to start. This is especially true during Week 17, when swirling motivations and variable situations could dictate who plays and for how long in any given game. Lamar Jackson has already been shut down until the NFL playoffs, so anyone with an active league this week will have some big decisions at the quarterback spot. IBM Insights provides information that can help make these decisions easier.

Projections higher than rank

Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

  • Weekly rank 124, 14th among QBs

  • High projection: 26.2 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 10.4 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.21

  • Bust chance: 0.17

Tannehill has been a strong quarterback since taking over the starting gig in Tennessee, averaging 266.7 passing yards per game with a total of 20 passing touchdowns, four rushing touchdowns and only five interceptions during that stretch. This week he will be supremely motivated, as a win over the Texans would secure a playoff berth for the Titans. The Texans have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Watson's Insight: Insights has Tannehill as a potential QB1 this week as a in a major game with playoffs implications against a weak passing defense.

Jacoby Brissett, Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Weekly rank 153, 18th among QBs

  • `High projection: 23.4 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 9.4 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.13

  • Bust chance: 0.19

Brissett is another quarterback leading a team with playoffs aspirations going into the last game of the season. Brissett is coming off consecutive games with fewer than 200 yards passing and no passing touchdowns, but he supplements his production on the ground (37 rushing yards and a touchdown last game, his seventh with at least 25 rushing yards and/or a touchdown this season). Also, the Jaguars defense has slid as the season has progressed and currently ranks 20th against opposing quarterbacks.

Watson's Insight: Brissett hasn't been prolific through the air of late, but Insights still identifies him as a likely QB2 in a massive game against a Jaguars defense that is struggling to the finish line.

Most likely to go boom/Least likely to bust

Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

  • Weekly rank 214, 22nd among QBs

  • High projection: 22.0 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 9.3 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.25

  • Bust chance: 0.07

Trubisky is finishing up a disappointing season that has some questioning his future as the quarterback of the Bears. Thus, he should be motivated to try to put up big numbers and make a statement in the season finale against a Vikings squad that is already locked into the wild ard. Also, prior to struggling last week against the Chiefs, Trubisky had averaged 298.5 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in his previous four outings.

Watson's Insight: Trubisky has had a disappointing season and is coming off a bad game, but Watson identifies him as a good bounce-back candidate with the upside to produce QB2 numbers against a Vikings defense without much to play for on Sunday.

Drew Lock, Denver Broncos vs Oakland Raiders

  • Weekly rank 272, 27th among QBs

  • High projection: 23.1 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 9.3 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.19

  • Bust chance: 0.07

Lock has come into the starting job slinging the rock, averaging 32 pass attempts through his first four games. In the season finale, he faces a Raiders defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Watson's Insight: Insights gives Lock a decent chance to produce QB2 numbers this week, ending his rookie season with a bang against a poor pass defense.

Insights provided by IBM Watson in partnership with ESPN