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Wednesday, October 30
 
A look back: preseason predictions

ESPN.com

Way back at the start of the 2002 season, we had members of ESPN.com's baseball staff make their predictions for the season. We thought it would be fun to take a look back and see who fared best.

Each place missed in the final standings is worth one point. For example, if someone picked the Angels to finish third in the AL West, they lost one point since Anaheim finished second. Here were the predictions:

 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Jayson Stark
ESPN.com columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
Twins
W. Sox
Indians
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
Angels
Athletics
Rangers
Braves
Phillies
Mets
Marlins
Expos
Cardinals
Astros
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Padres
Dodgers
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Rob Neyer
ESPN.com columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
W. Sox
Twins
Indians
Royals
Tigers
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Braves
Mets
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Rockies
Padres
Dodgers
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Jim Caple
ESPN.com columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
Twins
W. Sox
Tigers
Indians
Royals
A's
Mariners
Rangers
Angels
Mets
Braves
Marlins
Phillies
Expos
Astros
Cubs
Cardinals
Reds
Pirates
Brewers
Giants
D-Backs
Dodgers
Rockies
Padres
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
David Schoenfield
ESPN.com baseball editor
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
W. Sox
Twins
Indians
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Braves
Marlins
Mets
Phillies
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Reds
Cubs
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Padres
Dodgers
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Matt Szefc
ESPN.com asst. baseball editor
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
W. Sox
Indians
Twins
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
A's
Angels
Rangers
Braves
Mets
Marlins
Phillies
Expos
Cardinals
Cubs
Astros
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Padres
Dodgers
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Eric Karabell
ESPN.com fantasy editor
Yankees
Jays
Red Sox
Orioles
Rays
Indians
W. Sox
Twins
Tigers
Royals
A's
Mariners
Angels
Rangers
Braves
Phillies
Marlins
Mets
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Cubs
Brewers
Reds
Pirates
D-Backs
Giants
Dodgers
Rockies
Padres
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Brandon Funston
ESPN.com fantasy writer
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
Twins
Indians
W. Sox
Royals
Tigers
Mariners
A's
Angels
Rangers
Braves
Mets
Marlins
Phillies
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Dodgers
Rockies
Padres
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Sean McAdam
columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
Twins
Indians
W. Sox
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
Athletics
Angels
Rangers
Braves
Mets
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
Dodgers
D-Backs
Padres
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Tim Kurkjian
ESPN Magazine writer
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
Indians
Twins
W. Sox
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Braves
Mets
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Cardinals
Astros
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
D-Backs
Giants
Dodgers
Padres
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Phil Rogers
columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
Twins
W. Sox
Indians
Tigers
Royals
A's
Mariners
Angels
Rangers
Braves
Mets
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Cardinals
Cubs
Astros
Brewers
Pirates
Reds
Giants
Dodgers
D-Backs
Padres
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Bob Klapisch
columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
W. Sox
Twins
Indians
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Mets
Braves
Marlins
Phillies
Expos
Cardinals
Cubs
Astros
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
D-Backs
Giants
Dodgers
Padres
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
John Sickels
minor league analyst
Yankees
Jays
Red Sox
Rays
Orioles
Twins
W. Sox
Indians
Royals
Tigers
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels

Mets
Braves
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Cubs
Astros
Cardinals
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Padres
Dodgers
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Andy Latack
ESPN Magazine writer
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
W. Sox
Indians
Twins
Tigers
Royals
A's
Rangers
Mariners
Angels
Braves
Mets
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Cardinals
Astros
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
D-Backs
Giants
Dodgers
Padres
Rockies
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Alan Schwarz
columnist
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
W. Sox
Twins
Indians
Royals
Tigers
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Braves
Mets
Marlins
Phillies
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Cubs
Brewers
Reds
Pirates
Giants D-Backs Dodgers Rockies Padres
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Rany Jazayerli
Baseball Prospectus
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
W. Sox
Twins
Indians
Royals
Tigers
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Braves
Phillies
Mets
Marlins
Expos
Astros
Cubs
Cardinals
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Padres
Giants
Rockies
D-Backs
Dodgers
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Joe Sheehan
Baseball Prospectus
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Rays
Orioles
W. Sox
Indians
Twins
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
Rangers
A's
Angels
Braves
Marlins
Phillies
Expos
Mets
Cardinals
Astros
Cubs
Reds
Pirates
Brewers
Padres
D-Backs
Giants
Rockies
Dodgers
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
Tom Tippett
Diamond Mind Baseball
Yankees
Red Sox
Jays
Orioles
Rays
W. Sox
Twins
Indians
Royals
Tigers
A's
Mariners
Rangers
Angels
Braves
Phillies
Marlins
Mets
Expos
Cardinals
Astros
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Pirates
Giants
Rockies
D-Backs
Dodgers
Padres
 
AL EAST
ALCENT.
AL WEST
NLEAST
NL CENT.
NLWEST
David Lipman
ESPN.com baseball producer
Yankees
Jays
Red Sox
Orioles
Rays
W. Sox
Indians
Twins
Tigers
Royals
Mariners
A's
Rangers
Angels
Mets
Braves
Phillies
Marlins
Expos
Astros
Cardinals
Cubs
Brewers
Reds
Pirates
Giants
D-Backs
Rockies
Dodgers
Padres

The final standings (the fewer the points, the better):

Tippett 24*
Stark 24
Funston 24
Neyer 26
Latack 26
Karabell 28
McAdam 28
Kurkjian 28
Rogers 28
Caple 30
Schoenfield 30
Schwarz 30
Szefc 32
Klapisch 32
Sheehan 32
Sickels 34
Jazayerli 36
Lipman 36

There was a three-way tie for first between ESPN.com senior writer Jayson Stark, ESPN.com fantasy writer Brandon Funston and Tom Tippett of Diamond Mind Baseball with 24 points apiece. But due to our unique tiebreaker (*Expos home crowds over 10,000), Tippett came out the winner as his prediction of 23 Expos crowds of over 10,000 was the closest to the actual number (33). Stark's prediction of 14 was next closest, followed by Funston with seven.

ESPN.com senior writer Rob Neyer and ESPN The Magazine staff writer Andy Latack finished in a tie for second with 26 points apiece.

ESPN.com columnist Sean McAdam failed in his attempt to repeat as champion as he finished with 28 points.

Here were some other predictions (Note: not one of the ESPN.com staff members predicted the Angels or Giants would reach the World Series):

Other predictions
Jayson Stark
AL wild card: Red Sox
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Phillies
NL MVP: Sammy Sosa
NL Cy Young: Kerry Wood
World Series: Mariners over Cardinals
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 14

Rob Neyer
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Ichiro
AL Cy Young: Freddy Garcia
NL wild card: Cardinals
NL MVP: Lance Berkman
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson
World Series: A's over Astros
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 3

Jim Caple
AL wild card: Mariners
AL MVP: Cristian Guzman
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Cubs
NL MVP: Jeff Bagwell
NL Cy Young: Curt Schilling
World Series: Mariners over Mets
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 23

David Schoenfield
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Mike Mussina
NL wild card: Cardinals
NL MVP: Jeff Bagwell
NL Cy Young: Roy Oswalt
World Series: Mariners over Astros
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 6

Matt Szefc
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Mike Mussina
NL wild card: Mets
NL MVP: Chipper Jones
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson
World Series: Yankees over Cardinals
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 8

Eric Karabell
AL wild card: Mariners
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Cardinals
NL MVP: Chipper Jones
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson
World Series: Braves over Yankees
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 1

Brandon Funston
AL wild card: Red Sox
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Freddy Garcia
NL wild card: Cardinals
NL MVP: Lance Berkman
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson
World Series: Cardinals over Yankees
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 7

Sean McAdam
AL wild card: Athletics
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Freddy Garcia
NL wild card: Cardinals
NL MVP: Gary Sheffield
NL Cy Young: Roy Oswalt
World Series: Yankees over Astros
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 14

Tim Kurkjian
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Mets
NL MVP: Chipper Jones
NL Cy Young: Curt Schilling
World Series: Yankees over Braves
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 20

Phil Rogers
AL wild card: Mariners
AL MVP: Magglio Ordonez
AL Cy Young: Mike Mussina
NL wild card: Cubs
NL MVP: Gary Sheffield
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson
World Series: Braves over A's
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 37

Bob Klapisch
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Jason Giambi
AL Cy Young: Mike Mussina
NL wild card: Giants
NL MVP: Barry Bonds
NL Cy Young: Curt Schilling
World Series: Yankees over Cardinals
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 21

John Sickels
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Mike Mussina
NL wild card: Astros
NL MVP: Sammy Sosa
NL Cy Young: Roy Oswalt
World Series: Yankees over Cubs
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 15

Andy Latack
AL wild card: Red Sox
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Pedro Martinez
NL wild card: Astros
NL MVP: Gary Sheffield
NL Cy Young: Matt Morris
World Series: Braves over Yankees
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 9

Alan Schwarz
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Cardinals
NL MVP: Lance Berkman
NL Cy Young: Randy Johnson
World Series: Yankees over Astros
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 13

Rany Jazayerli
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Pedro Martinez
NL wild card: Cubs
NL MVP: Sammy Sosa
NL Cy Young: Roy Oswalt
World Series: Astros over A's
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 5

Joe Sheehan
AL wild card: Rangers
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Mike Mussina
NL wild card: Astros
NL MVP: Gary Sheffield
NL Cy Young: Kerry Wood
World Series: Astros over Yankees
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 31

Tom Tippett
AL wild card: Red Sox
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Astros
NL MVP: Barry Bonds
NL Cy Young: Matt Morris
World Series: A's over Cardinals
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 23

David Lipman
AL wild card: A's
AL MVP: Alex Rodriguez
AL Cy Young: Tim Hudson
NL wild card: Braves
NL MVP: Jeff Bagwell
NL Cy Young: Matt Morris
World Series: Mariners over Astros
Expos home crowds over 10,000: 13




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