All the reasons we won't see a Warriors-Cavs Finals rematch

Can Warriors deal with playing under intense scrutiny? (1:56)

Rachel Nichols, Tracy McGrady and Brian Windhorst weigh in on how playing under a microscope will affect the Warriors, specifically Draymond Green, this season. (1:56)

The overwhelming consensus is the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors will be the first teams in league history to meet in three consecutive NBA Finals, playing the rubber match of their series after splitting the past two titles.

But guess what? ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI) says that the matchup is not likely to happen.

And almost any other statistical projection will reach a similar conclusion.

Why isn't a rematch a sure thing?