Will LeBron become the greatest scorer of all time?

Issac Baldizon/NBAE/Getty Images

Will LeBron James eventually become the NBA's all-time leading scorer?

On Wednesday, James passed Michael Jordan for fourth place on the career scoring list, trailing a trio of players who finished their careers with the Los Angeles Lakers: Kobe Bryant (fewer than 1,400 points away), Karl Malone (still more than 4,600 points away) and all-time leader Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (a little less than 6,100 points away).

Given James is just 34 years old, he should have plenty of time left to pursue the three players ahead of him and possibly become the league's leading scorer. What kind of scoring can we expect from him in future seasons, and what are his chances of catching Abdul-Jabbar to become the GOAT scorer? Let's take a look with the help of my SCHOENE projection system.