New NBA playoff projections: How the Grizzlies' woes change the West

Inside the NBA's restart: Sights and sounds from opening weekend (2:18)

After a lengthy hiatus, the NBA delivered during the opening weekend in the bubble, with exciting plays and important social justice messages. (2:18)

Do the Memphis Grizzlies have enough to hold on and make the play-in tournament without Jaren Jackson Jr.? Or will their West rivals elbow them out?

On Tuesday, the Grizzlies announced that their second-year forward will miss the rest of the 2019-20 season because of a meniscus tear in his left knee. That appears to open the door for several teams chasing Memphis -- particularly the New Orleans Pelicans, Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs and perhaps the Phoenix Suns.

I've simulated the remaining seeding games 500 times to see how the race plays out.

Let's take a look.