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| Sunday, November 25 Florida suddenly in control of its Rose Bowl destiny By Brad Edwards Special to ESPN.com |
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Since Oct. 27, many college football fans have been anticipating a rematch in the Big 12 Championship Game. And that's exactly what will take place this weekend at Texas Stadium -- only the uniforms will look a little different than originally expected. Something happened on the way to Oklahoma-Nebraska II. The Huskers were dominated by Colorado, and just that one loss was all it took to keep them from winning even a division title. The Sooners then became victims of one of the biggest upsets in the last 10 years, falling at home to Oklahoma State and losing a chance to defend their conference and national championships. Now, it will be Colorado and Texas battling for a second time this season -- this meeting for an automatic BCS berth. The Longhorns won easily in round one, but conventional wisdom says it will be much tougher this time around. Of course, conventional wisdom also said UT would not be preparing for a football game this weekend, so you just never know what might happen. That's exactly the hope of Texas and a few other teams that now see themselves a little bit closer to their Rose Bowl dreams after the events of last weekend.
Stock up: Florida The Big 12 upsets bumped idle Florida to No. 2 in the BCS Standings and will put the Gators in Pasadena for the New Year if they can beat Tennessee on Saturday and then win the SEC title game on Dec. 8. That strong closing schedule prevents any team from gaining ground on them unless they lose. And don't bet on it. Florida has won seven straight against Tennessee in Gainesville and is 5-1 in its last six SEC Championship Games.
Stock down: Nebraska Nebraska did salvage something on Saturday, though. Losses by Oklahoma and Michigan assured that the Huskers will be the only once-beaten, major-conference team available as an at-large selection for a BCS bowl. This makes it very likely they will still play in a high-profile January game. There is also small consolation that the team remains mathematically in the running to play for the national championship, but it will require several upsets to help them get there. For starters, two of the following three teams -- Miami, Texas and Oregon - must lose on Saturday. Then, the Tennessee-Florida winner must fall in the SEC title game. It's not impossible, but don't call your travel agent just yet.
Under the radar The new quality wins component of the BCS Standings credits a team for victories over opponents ranked in the Top 15, but it does NOT give any consideration for beating the same team twice. This rule will hurt Texas if it wins the Big 12 title on Saturday. The bonus that is currently being subtracted from the Longhorns' BCS point total comes from their win over Colorado on Oct. 20. But if they beat the Buffaloes again, that number will decrease. The loss would cause CU to fall in the BCS Standings, which in turn, lessens the reward given to any team that beat them. And those decreased bonus points are credited only once -- even to a team that beat Colorado twice. The game is not being played in vain, though. The Buffs will provide a significant boost to Texas' schedule strength, and a second win over them would be credited twice to the Longhorns within the computers. BYU finally cracks the top 12 of the BCS Standings thanks to losses by Michigan and Washington, but the Cougars' chances to play in a major bowl are not looking much better. The Fiesta still has the option of preserving the Big Ten vs. Pac-10 bowl rivalry by taking Illinois to play Oregon, and there is now a possibility that Colorado (higher ranked and almost as close geographically as BYU) could also be available for selection. Also, don't overlook the fact that the Cougars' remaining opponents, Mississippi State and Hawaii, are both looking as strong as they've looked all season. Even if BYU can survive those games undefeated, they will still have to beat out either Nebraska or the Tennessee-Florida loser for an at-large bid to the BCS.
If the season ended today ...
Official BCS Standings Brad Edwards is a college football researcher for ESPN. Inside the BCS appears weekly. |
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