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          NFL playoffs projection: Broncos slide into No. 1 slot

          Denver has ridden a great defense to the top line of the current playoff projections. Justin Edmonds/Getty Images
          • Aaron Schatz, ESPN WriterDec 8, 2015, 04:15 PM ET
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            • NFL analyst for ESPN+
            • Chief Analytics Officer at FTN Network
            • Creator of the DVOA metric
            • Has been producing NFL analytics for more than 20 years
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          The Football Outsiders playoff odds simulation is all about probability. And nothing shakes up those odds like an improbable upset.