Projecting top 10 picks in 2019 NFL draft: Why the Browns won't pick No. 1 again

QB carousel full of stars in their prime (0:58)

The NFL has one of the most talented groups of quarterbacks looking for a new team in its history, with franchise-changing players hitting the market and a loaded draft class. (0:58)

Sure, Todd McShay's mock draft will tell you where you can expect to see Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield playing their NFL careers. But what about Drew Lock and Nick Bosa? It's way, way too early to even think about the 2019 draft before we've even had the 2018 draft. But for NFL fans who want to know what they'll be talking about a year from now, we've looked into the crystal ball anyway.

To get our way-too-early look at a prospective top 10 for the 2019 draft, Football Outsiders put together a very early version of our team projection system. It's primarily based on our DVOA ratings (defense-adjusted value over average; the 2017 ratings are here), but also accounts for coaching changes, personnel changes and typical regression toward the mean. Because these projections are so early, they are even more clustered around 8-8 than usual, but we're listing the mean projected wins for each team in our 2019 draft top 10.