The NFL's best, worst offseason moves, and how they'll work out long term

Alex Smith set an NFL career high with 26 touchdown passes for the Kansas City Chiefs last season. Patrick Mahomes tossed his 27th, 28th and 29th scoring strikes Sunday in the Chiefs' ninth game since trading Smith to Washington.

You can safely mark down the Chiefs' transition to Mahomes as one of the NFL's best moves from last offseason.

With all but two teams reaching the midpoint of their schedules Sunday, I've reached back into the offseason to find the best and worst moves.

I'm not crediting teams for finding contributors in the sixth round or hammering, say, the Arizona Cardinals for signing Sam Bradford before they knew they would have a shot at drafting Carson Palmer's replacement early in the first round. I'm not returning verdicts on first-round rookie quarterbacks or even first-year head coaches, on the assumption eight or nine games isn't enough to go on.

In every case, the moves could have been anticipated as sound or risky ones based on information available at the time.