Five reasons why each team will winBy Len Pasquarelli ESPN.com TAMPA, Fla. -- Unfazed and basically unflappable, and despite a track record of developing asthma every time they venture into the unfriendly confines of Veterans Stadium, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers exited their locker room Sunday night convinced they are headed to Super Bowl XXXVI. And we don't mean as spectators. "The time has come," said free safety Dexter Jackson. "Whatever happened at that place in the past is out of our heads." There are those who will counter, of course, that it's the Tampa Bay players who are out of their heads in suggesting they can buck history and advance to the first Super Bowl in franchise history. For sure, the mere mention of the Philadelphia Eagles and Veterans Stadium, where the Bucs have not scored an offensive touchdown in their past three meetings, has been more than enough to send Tampa Bay veterans into hives. But the Bucs are eager for another shot at the Eagles and, not surprisingly, Philadelphia is ready to add another Tampa Bay notch to its belt. It remains to be seen if history is again repeated. "To truly have a legacy," said Bucs quarterback Brad Johnson, "you have to win a Super Bowl. For us to win a Super Bowl, it's simple, we have to go to Philadelphia and do something we haven't been able to do before." Here is a look at how each team can win the NFC title game next Sunday:
Five reasons the Buccaneers will win
2. The linebacker corps isn't just a one-man gang: When you perform in the shadow of weakside linebacker Derrick Brooks, the NFL defensive player of the year for 2002, it's pretty easy to go unnoticed. But middle linebacker Shelton Quarles and strongside 'backer Alshermond Singleton, even backup Nate Webster, are all solid players. Like every Tampa Bay defender, these guys are all sure tacklers, and when they wrap up a running back or a tight end, it's like watching a cattle-roping competition. Maybe more important, it is a quick and active linebacker group, one that drops and covers well. The Bucs don't blitz much, so coordinator Monte Kiffin asks his linebackers to get out and cover in the "flat" and "swing" areas, and they can run with the tailbacks circling from the backfield. Brooks is quick enough to get deep with some wide receivers but it is also the ability of Quarles to turn and run to the deep middle that contributes so much to the success of the famous "Cover 2" scheme the Bucs employ. 3. The big, fat Buddha in the middle and his unknown buddy on the outside: You love him, you hate him, you can't live without his particular gift for loud and ugly trash-talking. Yep, defensive tackle Warren Sapp is simply one of those guys who elicits disparate emotions. But he is an emotion unto himself and, in what might be his last best shot at grabbing the brass (Super Bowl) ring, one can assume No. 99 will be pretty geeked up for a chance at redemption. Don't be surprised if the Bucs move Sapp more over the center, because Eagles snapper Hank Fraley is clearly undersized, and might need some double-team assistance in such circumstances. Unheralded left end Greg Spires, a first-year starter, was always regarded as a situational, upfield pass rush guy. But over the first five seasons of an itinerant career, he posted only 13½ sacks, never more than six in a campaign. Sometimes a player just needs to get to the right situation, or with the right franchise, to blossom. For the undersized Spires, the Bucs were that team. He had just 3½ sacks during the regular season, but fit the chase-the-ball mold Tampa Bay covets, and played the run better than anyone thought he could. 4. Tight end Ken Dilger: Despite being selected to his first Pro Bowl game in 2001, the eight-year veteran was cut loose by the Indianapolis Colts, who felt they could no longer justify a big salary cap number for a player who seemed to be getting increasingly brittle. Bad mistake by the Colts, who still have Marcus Pollard, but failed to adequately replace Dilger this season. A big, physical target who knows how to uncover in the short "hook" zones, he provided Brad Johnson a dependable presence between the hash marks. To be an effective West Coast-style passing team, an offense has to control the intermediate middle of the field. Dilger isn't a dominant presence but he caught 34 passes for 329 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is replaced at times in "red zone" situations by Rickey Dudley, but knows how to create just enough separation in tight spaces to be effective around the goal line. The Eagles defense has three Pro Bowl players, but strong safety Blaine Bishop isn't one of them. He might have his hands full attempting to cover Dilger on early downs. 5. Secondary matters: Of the Bucs' 31 interceptions in 2002, defensive backs had 20 of them, led by cornerback Brian Kelly. The fifth-year veteran stole eight passes, five more than he had totaled in his first four campaigns, and he might not have been Tampa Bay's premier coverage player. While Ronde Barber saw his interceptions plummet from 10 in 2001 to just two in 2002, the right cornerback really did have a Pro Bowl caliber season. Maybe the most remarkable aspect of the secondary, besides its discipline and closing speed, is the overall awareness. Make an overthrow with this bunch, and it's likely someone will be playing center field, ready to take advantage of any miscue. All four starters had at least 2 interceptions and "nickel" corner Dwight Smith, a tough, physical guy who will challenge for more playing time in 2003, had four in a situational role. The unit benefits from a strong rush generated by the front four, and the fact the linebackers are used so much in underneath zones, and won't face any game-breakers Sunday.
Five reasons the Eagles will win
2. The thin man and snake-eyes: Third-year wide receiver Todd Pinkston, basically think Twiggy modeling shoulder pads, has truly emerged as a "go to" player for quarterback Donovan McNabb this season. There is always the chance the reed-thin Pinkston will break in two if he absorbs too big a hit, and he has been battling injuries over the second half of the year, and isn't yet 100 percent. At the same time, Pinkston has deceptive speed and runs well after the catch. He is particularly effective on crossing routes, works the hashes well, and can sprint through a scattered secondary. The centerpiece of the offense, tailback Duce Staley, finally seems to have put behind him the foot injury of three seasons ago. As good a runner as he is, particularly on the "stretch" off-tackle play, "Snake Eyes" Staley always has been a very good receiver. When McNabb is really into a quick rhythm, it is often because he is using Staley, who can catch the ball up the field, as well as in the flat. If Pinkston and Staley are making plays, it could be a long day for the Tampa Bay defense. 3. On-line, in-line, outline: Of all the units still in the playoffs, the Tampa Bay offensive line is arguably the weakest, and has been a problem area for the entire season. It's a pretty good bet this flawed quintet isn't going to become a Seven Blocks of Granite before game time. It's a better bet the Philadelphia defensive staff knows precisely how porous the Bucs line really can be. So in addition to all the blitzing certain to be a component of the Philadelphia defensive game plan, expect the Eagles staff to stress to its charges that they can win most of the individual battles, too. High energy right defensive end Hugh Douglas, the best Philly sack threat, mis-matched against Tampa Bay left offensive tackle Roman Oben? That's one the Bucs coaches might not want to think much about. And the Eagles tackle tandem of Corey Simon and Darwin Walker, a couple superb two-way players with enough quickness to get through the gaps and into the backfield, figure to be too much for the Bucs interior line. If the Eagles front four has its usual game, Tampa Bay quarterback Brad Johnson could end up looking like a chalk outline. If it's truly what's up front that counts, the Eagles should have a wide advantage in the trench warfare. 4. No, not that Jimmy Johnson: The game will feature two of the best, if unappreciated, defensive coordinators in Monte Kiffin of Tampa Bay and the Eagles' Jim Johnson. With apologies to the brilliant Kiffin, we have to tout Johnson a little, because his aggressive scheme is so unusual. Johnson always wants to force the issue, to attack the line of scrimmage, and his weapon of choice is the blitz. Johnson will send defenders from every exotic angle imaginable, and some never before seen, like his use of the "cornerback fire" from both sides. Because there is nothing new under the NFL sun, it might have been utilized before, but not until the 2001 opener against the St. Louis Rams had this scribe, in 25 years of covering the NFL, ever seen both corners blitzing at once. Apparently, neither had St. Louis quarterback Kurt Warner, who froze at the sight, and was sacked. This is a defense that had 12 defenders with at least one sack, and Johnson gives everyone a chance to compress the pocket and chase down the quarterback. As noted above, the Tampa Bay offensive line is a mess (even with super line coach Bill Muir), and Johnson will definitely try to confuse the Bucs' pass-blocking schemes. 5. Yo', Adrian and everyone else, beware all you who enter here: It's old. It's run-down. And there are more rats running around than you'd find in a CDC research laboratory. So, the Philly cheesesteak place down the street in good, ol' South Philly? No way. We're talking, of course, about Veterans Stadium, basically a cesspool with plastic seats. If the Bucs players suggest they don't fear the place, which will be demolished after the Philadelphia Phillies upcoming campaign, they are probably lying. The loyal Eagles fans are, uh, vociferous. If there is snow on the ground, everyone in pewter will become an unwitting target, and there are times the fans are even more accurate than Donovan McNabb. OK, so maybe the denizens of the infamous "700 level" are too far removed from the action to be a factor. The rest of the leather-lunged partisans will more than make up for it. It's simply a tough place to play, one where the fans will probably stand the entire contest. Oops, we almost forgot. The surface at "The Vet" is annually voted by league players as the worst in the NFL. When they mention a "blowout" in South Philadelphia, they're just as often talking about a torn knee ligament as a lopsided Eagles victory. Len Pasquarelli is a senior writer for ESPN.com. |
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