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Monday, February 25
Updated: March 28, 10:14 AM ET
 
Carr could be Texans' first draft choice

By Joel Buchsbaum
Pro Football Weekly

David Carr led Fresno State to an 11-2 record.
Unless someone overwhelms the Houston Texans with an offer for the first overall pick, it looks like they will select Fresno State quarterback David Carr with that choice.

The real wild card in the first round is Oregon quarterback Joey Harrington, whom a few teams rate on par with Carr but most teams have rated much later in the round.

Players who figure to go in the top 10 are Carr, North Carolina defensive end Julius Peppers, offensive linemen Mike Williams of Texas and Bryant McKinnie of Miami, Texas cornerback Quentin Jammer, Oklahoma safety Roy Williams, possibly three defensive tackles and Miami cornerback Phillip Buchanon. That is, unless Harrington works his way into the top 10.

FIRST-ROUND PROJECTIONS
The Pick The Skinny
1. Houston Texans
QB David Carr
Fresno State
Had a great senior year and sold a lot of people on his worth at the Senior Bowl. He's a passer, not a thrower, with a big arm, a very quick trigger and excellent character, toughness and intangibles. However, he has just average mobility and a low, funky delivery that could lead to passes being batted down. If Carr had a classic delivery, he would be compared to former Cowboy Troy Aikman.
2. Carolina Panthers
DE Julius Peppers
North Carolina
Best and most gifted athlete in the draft. Tremendous upside if he's got the heart, passion and tenacity to be a great one. Otherwise, he will make plays of the week on "SportsCenter" but will be more like Simeon Rice than Michael Strahan.
3. Detroit Lions
FS Roy Williams
Oklahoma
Matt Millen goes for a great football player in the Kenny Easley mold, unless he moves down to add picks.
4. Buffalo Bills
OT Mike Williams
Texas
Looking for a replacement for OLT John Fina, and if the Bills feel Williams can play the left side, they might go in his direction. He has the size and feet to be a tremendous pro.
5 San Diego Chargers
OT Bryant McKinnie
Miami (Fla.)
Don't rule out a top corner, but the weakest part of the Chargers' team is its offensive line.
6. Dallas Cowboys
CB Quentin Jammer
Texas
Cowboys really need a shut-down corner. Could also deal down since Jerry Jones loves to wheel and deal.
7. Minnesota Vikings
DT Albert Haynesworth
Tennessee
Need help almost everywhere on defense, but Haynesworth could be a good starting point.
8. Kansas City Chiefs
DT Ryan Sims
North Carolina
Is a better every-down football player than Peppers and a coach's delight.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars
DT John Henderson
Tennessee
With Henderson and Marcus Stroud at tackle, the Jaguars' defensive line will be tough to throw over.
10. Cincinnati Bengals
CB Phillip Buchanon
Miami (Fla.)
The Bengals really need a No. 1 corner, and Buchanon can be a dandy.
11. Indianapolis Colts
DE-OLB Kalimba Edwards
South Carolina
The Colts were hoping one of the two corners would last. Do not be surprised if they deal down with a club that wants an offensive player, like Cleveland or Washington, and then get Edwards, Miami (Fla.) S Ed Reed or a cornerback later in the round.
12. Arizona Cardinals
DT Wendell Bryant
Wisconsin
The Cardinals must rebuild almost the entire defense.
13. New Orleans Saints
WR Donte Stallworth
Tennessee
Will make Aaron Brooks a very happy quarterback.
14. N.Y. Giants
(subject to coin flip with Titans)
TE Jeremy Shockey
Miami (Fla.)
The Giants need a tight end who can get down the field and catch the ball in the worst way.
15. Tennessee Titans
(subject to coin flip with Giants)
OG Toniu Fonoti
Nebraska
The Titans need a replacement for Bruce Matthews, and Fonoti is the type of run blocker who can make Eddie George a happy camper.
16. Atlanta Falcons
(subject to coin flip with Browns)
RB William Green
Boston College
The Falcons will need a big-time runner unless Jamal Anderson can come all the way back, which is doubtful. Green is an excellent buy here.
17. Cleveland Browns
(subject to coin flip with Falcons)
RB T.J. Duckett
Michigan State
The Browns need to upgrade at running back, where they have a lot of good backup types but no true starter.
18. Washington Redskins
QB Joey Harrington
Oregon
Most people have him going in the top five in the draft, and he could. But I'm not entirely sold. However, at this juncture he would be a solid selection.
19. Denver Broncos
WR Ashlie Lelie
Hawaii
Look what happened when Ed McCaffrey went down.
20. Seattle Seahawks
TE Daniel Graham
Colorado
He can run, catch and block.
21. Oakland Raiders (From T.B.)
WR Jabar Gaffney
Florida
Jerry Rice and Tim Brown are not kids anymore.
22. N.Y. Jets
CB Derek Ross
Ohio State
Has the size Herman Edwards likes in his corners.
23. Oakland Raiders
OLB Napoleon Harris
Northwestern
The Raiders' weakest position is probably outside linebacker.
24. Baltimore Ravens
OT Levi Jones
Arizona State
The Ravens had a huge hole at offensive right tackle last year.
25. Miami Dolphins
RB DeShaun Foster
UCLA
The Dolphins have been looking for a big-time runner for years, and Foster could be their answer. He looked very good at the Senior Bowl.
26. Philadelphia Eagles
C-OG Andre Guarde
Colorado
The fact he can play center sells the Eagles.
27. San Francisco 49ers
OL Kendall Simmons
Auburn
The one area the 49ers could get old in a hurry is their offensive line, where they also have a number of possible free agents.
28. Green Bay Packers
WR Josh Reed
Louisiana State
Could be another Sterling Sharpe although he is not as big or fast. Great run-after-the-catch guy who can cut on a dime.
29. Chicago Bears
DE Dwight Freeney
Syracuse
The Bears could use a big-time edge rusher to go with their other players on defense. They might also go for Florida's Alex Brown.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers
S Ed Reed
Miami (Fla.)
A major upgrade on Brent Alexander. A real ballhawk.
31. St. Louis Rams
WR Reche Caldwell
Florida
This pick is based on the assumption the Rams will lose free-agent WR Az-Zahir Hakim and keep DE Leonard Little and MLB London Fletcher.
32. New England Patriots
DT Anthony Weaver
Notre Dame
Has a Patriot-type attitude and could combine with DT Richard Seymour for years to come.

SECOND-ROUND PROJECTIONS
Team Pick
33. Houston Texans
WR RB Clinton Portis -- Miami (Fla.)
34. Carolina Panthers
WR Antonio Bryant -- Pittsburgh
35. Detroit Lions
CB Lito Sheppard -- Florida
36. Buffalo Bills
QB Pat Ramsey -- Tulane
37. Dallas Cowboys
WR Jevon Walker -- Florida State
38. Minnesota Vikings
DE-OLB Alex Brown -- Florida
39. San Diego Chargers
CB Keyuo Craver -- Nebraska
40. Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Andre Davis -- Virginia Tech
41. Cincinnati Bengals
TE Matt Schobel -- Texas Christian
42. Indianapolis Colts
CB Mike Rumph -- Miami (Fla.)
43. Kansas City Chiefs
DE Charles Grant -- Georgia
44. New Orleans Saints
OT Mike Pearson -- Florida
45. New York Giants (subject to coin flip)
LB Saleem Rasheed -- Alabama
46. Tennessee Titans(subject to coin flip)
CB Roosevelt Williams -- Tuskegee
47. San Diego Chargers (from Mia.)
(subject to coin flip)
C-OG La Charles Bentley -- Ohio State
48. Cleveland Browns(subject to coin flip)
OT Marc Colombo -- Boston College
49. Arizona Cardinals
DE Bryan Thomas -- Alabama-Birmingham
50. Houston Texans
S-CB LaMont Thompson -- Washington State
51. Denver Broncos
S Michael Lewis -- Colorado
52. Washington Redskins
WR Marquise Walker -- Michigan
53. Oakland Raiders
DE Dennis Johnson -- Kentucky
54. Seattle Seahawks
DE Ryan Denney -- Brigham Young
55. Oakland Raiders
TE Jerramy Stevens -- Washington
56. Baltimore Ravens
S Ramon Walker -- Pittsburgh
57. N.Y. Jets
LB LeVar Fisher -- North Carolina State
58. Philadelphia Eagles
S Jon McGraw -- Kansas State
59. Philadelphia Eagles (from Mia.)
RB Luke Staley -- Brigham Young
60. Philadelphia Eagles
LB Ben Taylor -- Virginia Tech
61. San Francisco 49ers
DT Eddie Freeman -- Alabama-Birmingham
62. Pittsburgh Steelers
OG Fred Weary -- Tennessee
63. Chicago Bears
TE Randy McMichael -- Georgia
64. St. Louis Rams
OT Victor Rogers -- Colorado
65. New England Patriots
TE Terry Jones -- Alabama

Pro Football Weekly Material from Pro Football Weekly.
Visit PFW's web site at http://www.profootballweekly.com






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