The International Weightlifting Federation has revised its qualifying requirements for Olympic selection due to COVID-19 after a meeting, making it so that athletes are required to attend only four competitions instead of the previous six, which puts New Zealand weightlifter Laurel Hubbard on track to become the first transgender athlete to compete at an Olympics.
"The NZOC can confirm that revised International Federation qualification systems are very likely to see a number of New Zealand weightlifters, including Commonwealth Games transgender athlete Laurel Hubbard, allocated an IF quota spot for Tokyo 2020," the NZOC said in a statement.
Hubbard, 43, competed in men's weightlifting competitions before transitioning in 2013.
She has been eligible to compete in the Olympics since 2015, when the International Olympic Committee issued guidelines allowing any transgender athlete to compete as a woman provided her testosterone levels are below 10 nanomoles per litre for at least 12 months before her first competition.
Some scientists have criticised these guidelines, saying they do little to mitigate biological advantages of those who have gone through puberty as males, including bone and muscle density.
"The IOC is committed to inclusion across the Olympic Movement and recognises that all athletes, regardless of their gender identity or sex characteristics should engage in safe and fair competition," the IOC said in a statement.
"Recognising that there is a perceived tension between fairness/safety and inclusion/non-discrimination... the IOC has decided in October 2019 to work on a new comprehensive and rights-respecting approach to address the complexity of this issue.
"Currently, the IOC is developing new guidance to help ensure that athletes -- regardless of their gender identity and/or sex characteristics -- can engage in safe and fair competition."
Advocates for transgender inclusion argue that the process of transition decreases that advantage considerably and that physical differences between athletes mean there is never a truly level playing field in sport.
The NZOC said it does not expect nomination and selection for its weightlifting team to happen until June, when it would have a final list of qualified athletes from the IWF.
"Prior to that all athletes must provide evidence of capability to finish in the top 16 at the Games, with the potential to achieve a top eight placing," the NZOC added.
Weightlifting New Zealand, the national body for the sport, did not provide immediate comment when contacted by Reuters but has been a staunch supporter of Hubbard's right to lift in women's competitions.
Weightlifting has been at the centre of the debate over the fairness of transgender athletes competing in women's sports, and Hubbard's presence in Tokyo could prove divisive.
Her gold medal wins at the 2019 Pacific Games in Samoa, where she topped the podium ahead of Samoa's Commonwealth Games champion Feagaiga Stowers, triggered outrage in the island nation.
Australia's weightlifting federation sought to block Hubbard from competing at the 2018 Commonwealth Games on the Gold Coast, but organisers rejected the move.
Rival weightlifters and coaches at the Commonwealth Games also complained. Hubbard withdrew from the tournament after injuring herself lifting, after which Stowers took gold in the 90+kg division.