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Thursday, November 11
War Room: Browns at Steelers


Cleveland offense vs. Pittsburgh defense
BROWNS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 28
Pass 30
Tot. Yds. 31
Scoring 31
Int's allowed 8
Sacks allowed 31
   
STEELERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 15
vs. Pass 1
Total yds. allowed 4
# of Ints. 10
# of Sacks 21
Turnover differential +2
The Browns biggest problem on offense is their inability to run the football. Cleveland is forced to abort the run game after the first few drives, giving opposing defenses an opportunity to tee off on QB Tim Couch. The problems are not going to get any better this week when the Browns travel to Pittsburgh to take on the fourth-best overall defense in the league.

Generally, teams are more likely to establish a running game against defenses that run a "34" set, because it forces the linebacking corps to stack up at the line of scrimmage to against bigger and more physical offensive lineman. This is not the case in Pittsburgh with ILB's like Levon Kirkland and Earl Holmes, who are bigger and stronger than a lot of offensive guards in the league.

The matchup difficulties for the Browns offensive line are going to force Cleveland to get away from running the ball early in the first quarter. NT Joel Steed will handle OC Dave Wahlabaugh against the run and will force OG's Scott Rehberg and Jim Pyne to pick up the inside linebackers on the blitz and get out and chip Kirkland and Holmes in the run game. Pyne should be able to hold his own against Holmes, but the real trouble for the Browns is when Rehberg is in one-on-one situations against Kirkland. Kirkland has the ability to dominate this matchup and completely disrupt the timing of the Brown's offense when he is in one-on-one situations with Rehberg. If Rehberg gets completely manhandled by Kirkland, the Browns are going to have to use a running back to give help, which will limit what they can do offensively.

Because the Browns will get little production out of the running game, the pressure will once again be on Cleveland's rookies, QB Tim Couch and WR Kevin Johnson, to move the ball down the field. Johnson is by far the teams top priority in the passing game, collecting almost half of Cleveland's 1,137 total yards in the air. Pittsburgh is going to gamble on defense to generate a disruptive pass rush, but they will do so with man/zone coverage to Johnson's side. CB DeWayne Washington will play press coverage on Johnson to take him out of his routes off the line of scrimmage. Washington will jump a lot of the underneath routes, knowing that he has help from free safety Travis Davis, who will cheat over to Johnson's side.

With Johnson double-teamed and Couch under extreme pressure from the Steeler's "34" blitz package, the Browns are going to have nowhere to turn to in the passing game. The Browns running backs have offered little help as receivers out of the backfield, and Couch has struggled to pick up the blitz when Johnson is taken away off the line of scrimmage.

Pittsburgh offense vs. Cleveland defense
STEELERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 10
Pass 29
Tot. Yds. 26
Scoring 16
Int's allowed 7
Sacks allowed 16
   
BROWNS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 31
vs. Pass 19
Total yds. allowed 30
# of Ints. 5
# of Sacks 17
Turnover differential -13
The Steelers have shown some life on offense the past couple of weeks because of Kordell Stewart's willingness to throw the ball down the field. By making the passing game more of a vertical attack, Pittsburgh not only increases its chances for the big play, but it also opens up room underneath and creates more running lanes for RB Jerome Bettis to work.

This is the type of matchup that the Steelers should thrive in. The Browns are undersized up front and have little depth when they wear down late in games. Cleveland is allowing 172.9 yards per game on the ground, while the Steelers are 8th in the league in rushing offense, averaging 122.2 yards per contest.

Pittsburgh has the opportunity to build on last week's offensive success against the Browns, because they should be able to run the ball to set up the passing game. Kordell Stewart will have the time to sit in the pocket and make his reads downfield, and also should be able to break contain against Cleveland's overaggressive DEs, Derrick Alexander and Roy Barker.

The Steelers will be successful running the ball between the tackles with Jerome Bettis, which means that Stewart will have the opportunity to roll out off of the play fake and get to the outside. Stewart has been keeping contain on himself the last couple of weeks, which takes away from his overall effectiveness as a player. If Stewart can use the play fake to get him outside of the pocket, it will give him better field vision and will limit his reads to a simple high/low look. Stewart is more effective when he is only focused on one-half of the field where his read is limited between two receivers.

Also, by getting outside of the pocket off the fake, Stewart will again become the double threat for defenses to defend against the run/pass option. Stewart, against the Browns on Sunday, should be able to return to his effectiveness of two-seasons ago, where he was able to create on the move and was asked to do very little reading of defensive coverages.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category CLE PIT
Punt return avg. 28 14
Kickoff return avg. 18 22
Opp. punt return avg. 11 23
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 18 22
Time of possession 31 6
P Chris Gardocki is headed for team MVP honors if things do not get better for the expansion franchise. Gardocki has punted the ball 65 times already this season, averaging 44.1 yards per punt. The biggest concern for Cleveland is that 40 of those punts have been returnable. This is a combination of poor field position and a lack of accuracy on Gardocki's part. Ronnie Powell continues to improve each week in his role as kickoff return man. He has given the offense a spark and is now averaging 23.6 yards per return with a long of 43.

Kris Brown, the rookie field goal kicker, has been more than impressive, connecting on 13 of his first 14 NFL FGA's. Brown has shown great poise as a rookie and also an impressive leg as he has already hit from 51 yards out. The punting situation has been as good as the Steelers could have ever expected. Josh Miller is averaging 44.8 yards per punt, fourth in the league, but he is still erratic and allowing too many returns. Troy Edwards, as much as he has is adding to the Steelers offense, has been a disappointment as a punt return man, averaging just 7.8 yards per return.

Key matchups
  • Cleveland WR Kevin Johnson vs. Pittsburgh DC DeWayne Washington
    Washington has the physical ability to cover Johnson in single-man coverage, but he needs to avoid making costly mistakes and having mental breakdowns. Johnson has established himself as the Browns' primary playmaker and Tim Couch's go-to receiver. If Washington can handle this matchup without much help from his safeties, it will allow the Steelers to be a lot more aggressive on defense.

  • Cleveland RB Scott Rehberg vs. Pittsburgh ILB Levon Kirkland
    Rehberg has been a weak link on this Browns offensive line, and he will be responsible for picking up Kirkland on the pass blitz and getting out to chip the linebacker in the run game. Kirkland has the ability to dominate this matchup and completely disrupt the timing of the Brown's offense when he is in one-on-one situations with Rehberg. If Rehberg gets completely manhandled by Kirkland, the Brown's are going to have to use a running back to give help, which will limit what they can do offensively.

  • Pittsburgh WR Troy Edwards vs. Cleveland DC Antonio Langham
    Edwards has flashed some real playmaking ability out of the slot as a nickel receiver. Langham has been exposed at times in man-to-man matchups over the last two seasons, and may have some trouble covering the rookie receiver in single-man coverage. This is a crucial matchup, because Cleveland needs to be able to cover the Pittsburgh receivers in man-to-man coverage in order to get help from their safeties against the Steelers' punishing run game.

    Cleveland will win if...
  • They can establish a running game on 1st and 2nd down to take some of the pressure off of QB Tim Couch. The Browns have been putting themselves in a lot of 3rd down and long situations, where teams have been able to tee off on Tim Couch with seven-and-eight man pass rushes. If Cleveland can pick up just a few yards on 1st and 2nd down on Sunday, it will allow the offense to open it up more and spread the field to neutralize the pass rush. Couch needs to be able to operate with less pressure on third down in order to be able to utilize more of the field in the passing attack.

  • CB's Daylon McCutcheon and Ryan McNeil hold up in man-to-man coverage, allowing SS Marquez Pope to help in run support. The Browns front seven has been getting manhandled up front, allowing teams to rush for an average of 169.1 yards per game. In order to contain RB Jerome Bettis, Cleveland is going to have to get help from SS Marquez Pope close to the line of scrimmage.

  • They get a consistent pass rush up the middle. In the past, the key to defending Kordell Stewart has been to keep good contain and keep him in the pocket where he has to throw the ball behind the offensive line. Lately, Stewart has been staying inside the pocket and has become more of a drop-back passer. The key to throwing off the timing of the Steelers passing attack is to get a good rush up the middle in order to close down the throwing lanes and limit his vision inside the pocket. The Browns will do a lot of stunting and blitzing inside to cause disruption up the middle and utilize their outside linebackers to keep contain when Stewart tries to get outside the hash marks.

    Pittsburgh will win if...

  • QB Kordell Stewart continues to take chances down the field. Stewart only threw for 139 yards last week, but he did an excellent job of opening up the offense by throwing the ball down field. By making the passing game more of a vertical attack, Pittsburgh not only increases its chances for the big play, but it also opens up room underneath and creates more running lanes for RB Jerome Bettis to work.

  • They run a lot of inside stunts with DE's Kevin Henry and Orpheus Roye to exploit Cleveland's weakness at the offensive guard position. The Browns have been giving up a lot of penetration inside because of its poor play from OG's Jim Pyne and Scott Rehberg. In order to take advantage of this weakness, Pittsburgh needs to do a lot of stunting and blitzing inside to put the pressure on Pyne and Rehberg to recognize and pick up the assignment. The Steelers will also blitz their outside linebackers when they stunt and blitz inside, in order to occupy the offensive tackle and leave the guards stranded to handle their matchups without any help.

  • They punish Cleveland's undersized front seven with a steady diet of Jerome Bettis between the tackles. Cleveland has been getting killed inside by teams that have a physical, tackle-to-tackle running attack. The Browns have allowed 169.1 yards per game on the ground, and should have a difficult time stacking up against the Steelers offensive line. Pittsburgh should be able to dominate the tempo of the game by pounding the ball between the tackles and wearing down the Brown's depleted front seven.

    The War Room edge
    The road doesn't get any easier for the expansion Browns. Cleveland, who is struggling to do much of anything right, now heads down to Pittsburgh to play in front of a merciless Three Rivers Stadium crowd against a Steeler team that looks to be clicking on most cylinders. The story of this game is going to be Pittsburgh's defense (4th in the league) versus Cleveland's offense (31st in the league). The Browns are going to struggle to do anything with the ball on the ground, which means the Steelers are going to be teeing off on rookie QB Tim Couch every time he takes his pass drop. Pittsburgh will continue to improve offensively, as Kordell Stewart takes more and more chances down field, and the Steelers notch their sixth victory to stay in the hunt in the AFC Central.

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