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Thursday, November 11
War Room: Titans at Bengals


Tennessee offense vs. Cincinnati defense
TITANS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 26
Pass 9
Tot. Yds. 17
Scoring 13
Int's allowed 8
Sacks allowed 13
   
BENGALS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 21
vs. Pass 20
Total yds. allowed 23
# of Ints. 5
# of Sacks 17
Turnover differential -15
Tennessee had a major setback last week on offense as QB Steve McNair threw three interceptions and RB Eddie George could only muster 65 yards on the ground. This week, however, the Titan's offense will get back on track as they face a Cincinnati defense that is allowing 111.3 yards per game on the ground and 231.2 yards in the air.

Tennessee is going to be able to run the ball off-tackle against Cincinnati's "34" defensive set with great success. The Bengals linebackers are active, but are having a difficult time stacking up at the line of scrimmage. OTs Jon Runyan and Brad Hopkins will be able to handle their run-blocking assignments against DEs Jevon Langford and John Copeland, leaving an offensive guard and FB Lorenzo Neal to handle the kick-out block on ILB's Takeo Spikes and Brian Simmons.

Because of the Bengals trouble in coverage, they will get minimal help from the safeties in run-support, because they will be forced to play off the line of scrimmage to give help in the deep third against play action on first and second downs. This will give the Titans numbers in the run game where they already have a significant size advantage on the Bengals front seven.

Eddie George should gain over one hundred yards on Sunday, with most of his production coming on downhill runs where the Titans will be able to isolate the linebackers and create generous running lanes for George to cut upfield.

This mismatch gets even more apparent when analyzing the Bengals pass defense. Cincinnati is playing with a depleted secondary, having been left with just three cornerbacks in last Sunday's game versus the Seahawks. They have been getting scorched early in the game because of taking false steps and trying to do too much in run support. Cincinnati has been outscored by 136 points in the first half of games this season.

The Bengals secondary has gotten a face-lift, and it is not a pretty one. Rico Clark and Ty Howard (originally slated as practice squad players) are the starting corners, and Rodney Heath (a reserve cornerback who could not handle coverage responsibility) has been relegated to the starting strong safety duties. Needless to say, this is a little different look for McNair & Co. after last week's game versus Dolphin cornerbacks Terrell Buckley and Sam Madison.

Cincinnati offense vs. Tennessee defense
BENGALS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 13
Pass 18
Tot. Yds. 15
Scoring 28
Int's allowed 11
Sacks allowed 28
   
TITANS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 14
vs. Pass 23
Total yds. allowed 20
# of Ints. 7
# of Sacks 22
Turnover differential -1
When you evaluate the talent on Cincinnati's offense and look their running and passing numbers, it's hard to believe that this unit has only scored twenty or more points twice this season. However, when watching game film it becomes painfully obvious why this unit has been so unproductive. Penalties and blown assignments have disrupted drives and put the team in reverse during drives that looked to be promising. Last week, the Bengals were called for 19 penalties as a team, taking them out of potential scoring drives and putting their defense in horrible position against an explosive Seahawk offense.

Tennessee's "46" defense is going to be too much for the Bengals to handle up front. The pressure that the scheme puts on blocking assignments is unparalleled and the Bengals are incapable of working together as a unit on the offensive line.

The Titans scheme is an aggressive one that features a heavy blitz concentrated to one side of the line. This defense is a risk against receivers like Darnay Scott and Carl Pickens because it relies on the corners to play on an island, but the Titans are confident that they will get to the quarterback before he can do any damage up top in the passing game.

The key to the "46" defense is to get to the quarterback before his receivers get out of their routes, disrupting the timing and rhythm of the passing game. Tennessee will load up its linebackers and even safeties to one side, blitzing two of the players to one side in order to split the offensive tackle an tight end. The interesting thing about the "46" defense is that the Titans will drop the defensive end into coverage on occasion to diversify the quarterback's read and cover the flat.

QB Jeff Blake gives this offense a spark as a downfield passer, but the bottom line is that he is a backup quarterback in this league because of his inability to beat the blitz with any consistency. Blake throws off his back foot too often and forces the ball into coverage. Blake will have a horrible time on Sunday handling this pressure and is sure to make some key mistakes and costly turnovers.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category TEN CIN
Punt return avg. 17 16
Kickoff return avg. 27 8
Opp. punt return avg. 12 26
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 27 8
Time of possession 18 12
P Craig Hentrich has had an up and down year, but overall he is averaging 42.5 yards per punt. Tennessee is getting little help from their return units and are getting stuck too many times inside the twenty this season where the offense has to fight an upfield battle.

Doug Pelfrey has not had much to work with this season, but he is 11-of-16 with a long of 51 yards. P Will Brice has been extremely inconsistent, often outkicking his coverage or shanking the ball off the side of his foot. Brice needs to get more air under his kicks and allow his coverage units to get into position. The one bright spot on special teams has been the return of Tremain Mack, who is averaging 23.1 yards per kickoff return and has seemingly sparked the return units.

Key matchups
  • Tennessee WR Devin Dyson vs. Cincinnati CB Ty Howard
    With QB Steve McNair back behind center, the Titans have a very dangerous passing attack. The Bengals biggest trouble has been in their secondary, where teams have been targeting the cornerback position and picking up big chunks of yardage on the deep ball or on pass interference penalties. Howard is going to have to back off his coverage on Dyson and keep everything in front of him in order to eliminate the big play. Do not be surprised if Dyson ends the game with double-digit receptions because he takes advantage of the soft coverage.

  • Tennessee OGs Bruce Matthews and Benji Olson vs. Cincinnati ILBs Brian Simmons and Takeo Spikes
    The two most explosive players on the Bengal's defense are Simmons and Spikes, who make most of the plays inside and create a tremendous pass rush when they are turned loose. With OC Kevin Long occupied with the nose tackle, Piller and Olson are going to be responsible for getting out and chipping the linebackers in the run game as well as picking up the blitz on the inside.

  • Cincinnati WRs Darnay Scott and Carl Pickens vs. Tennessee CBs Samari Rolle and Denard Walker
    The Bengals only real chance on Sunday is to get enormous games from its wide receiver corps. Pickens and Scott are one of the top tandems, talent-wise, at the receiving corps position, but the Bengals have been unable to utilize their skills in the passing game for a number of reasons. Rolle and Walker will be left alone on an island in the "46" defensive scheme, allowing the defense to use the safeties and all the linebackers to stuff the run and generate pressure on the quarterback. The Bengals have been unable to take advantage of these types of matchups this season, but if they get a couple of big plays, it may force the Titans to play more honest up front.

    Tennessee will win if...
  • QB Steve McNair takes advantage of some favorable matchups down field. McNair should have a big afternoon against the Bengal's depleted and often picked on secondary. McNair threw three interceptions last week in Miami, but that was against arguably the top corner tandem in all of football. Expect McNair to bounce back and have a big day throwing the ball downfield where his receivers should be able to create a lot of space in the vertical passing game.

  • They attack Cincinnati's "34" defense on the ground. Cincinnati runs a 3-4 defense that has a lot of holes in it against teams that can run the ball well between the tackles. The Bengal linebackers have had some trouble stacking up at the line of scrimmage and the Titans should be able to get great surge in the run game because of their size advantage.

  • They force the Bengals to throw the ball to win. The Titans "46" defense is an aggressive scheme that puts tremendous pressure on opponents offensive lines. The Titans are confident that they can get penetration on the Bengals up front and should be able to shut down the running game as well as get to the passer. Tennessee would love to eliminate the Bengals running game early on by jumping out to the lead and forcing Cincinnati to play catchup football. Jeff Blake has shown a tendency to make hasty decisions against a heavy pass rush and he will throw the ball into coverage in order to avoid the sack.

    Cincinnati will win if...

  • They get better help from their safeties in the deep third. The Bengals need for SS Rodney Heath and FS Corey Hall to do a better job of playing centerfield and helping their corners out in the deep third. The Titans are sure to try to take advantage of the Bengals exhausted corners by going up top in the passing game. If Bell and Hall get caught guessing or peaking on the playfake, Cincinnati could be in for another long game.

  • The wide receiving corps gives the offense some spark. Darnay Scott and Carl Pickens need to find a way to create some production on offense. Their miniscule numbers are not all their fault this season, but the Bengals need a spark and Scott and Pickens seem to be the only two players on offense that are capable of doing so. Pickens and Scott will get a lot of man-to-man coverage situations and need to come up with some big plays down the field to light a fire for this struggling offense.

  • They get help from their running backs in the passing game as receivers as well as blockers. The Bengals backs need to become more versatile in the offense. Teams have been basically eliminating them in coverage and dominating the Bengal backs in the pass rush. Corey Dillon and Cliffe Groce, especially, need to be more productive picking up the blitz in pass pro and making themselves legitimate options as receivers in the passing game.

    The War Room edge
    This is the perfect opportunity for the Titans to get back on track offensively after being shut out in Miami last Sunday night. The Bengals are a team in despair on both sides of the ball, and are going to have terrible difficulties trying to do much of anything on Sunday. Cincinnati needs a complete mental turnaround, and that is not happening in a one-week span. Tennessee is aggressive on defense and will cause tremendous miscommunication problems and assignment breakdowns for the Bengals offensively. On defense, Cincinnati has too many holes in the secondary, and their linebacking corps will not be able to stack up at the point of attack in the run game to stop Eddie George. This game will not be competitive, but it will feature some big plays on the Titans side of the ball.

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