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Wednesday, November 17
War Room: Ravens at Bengals


Baltimore offense vs. Cincinnati defense
RAVENS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 13
Pass 28
Tot. Yds. 27
Scoring 25
Int's allowed 11
Sacks allowed 28
   
BENGALS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 23
vs. Pass 17
Total yds. allowed 17
# of Ints. 5
# of Sacks 19
Turnover differential -18
The Ravens are running for an average of 117.7 yards per game, but troubles are on the horizon for this unit. Starting RT Harry Swayne is out for the season after suffering a fractured foot against the Browns. The loss will have a significant impact on run blocking schemes, because his replacement, Spencer Folau, is nowhere near as productive in the run game. Folau is fully recovered from a sprained knee, but his lack of experience at the position and lack of power at the point of attack are a major source of concern.

RB Errict Rhett has been running the ball extremely well inside, and should have some success against Cincinnati's undersized 3-4 defensive front. The Bengals can attribute a lot of their troubles up front to the secondary's inability to cover. The front seven is trying to do too much to create pressure, causing them to get caught out of position, especially at the outside linebacker position -- where Adrian Ross and Steve Foley must do a better job of contain to set up Brian Simmons and Takeo Spikes for a bulk of the tackles.

If the outside players can do a better job of funneling the run inside, the Bengals will have a better chance of containing Rhett on Sunday, as it will allow Spikes and Simmons to play within themselves instead of having to make up for the rest of the front seven all over the field.

Spikes is a physical player who is relentless in his pursuit. His production is noticeably down from a season ago, but it is mostly due to teams giving him too much respect. Teams are running away from him and making sure to dedicate a lineman to cutting Spikes off on the backside. Simmons has been the beneficiary of the added attention to Spikes, because Simmons is able to move around more freely in the middle and chase down plays.

The Ravens are having some major breakdowns in pass protection as well. OC Jeff Mitchell and OG's Edwin Mulitalo and Jeff Blackshear are struggling with their communication in the middle; resulting in assignment trouble versus stunts on the inside. The Ravens are going to need to be sharp up front because this is the week that QB Tony Banks needs to take some chances down the field.

The Bengals secondary has shown improvement over the past two games, but they are still one of the weakest units in the league. They are playing soft and tentative because of the trouble they have had downfield, and it is resulting in teams attacking the unit underneath.

This week, Baltimore needs to target the Bengals corners -- Rodney Heath, Rico Clark and Ty Howard -- daring them to come up and defend against the short to intermediate zone. It is at this point that the Ravens are going to have to go up top and get some big plays out of their receiving corps.

WR Jermaine Lewis needs to step up his level of play if this offense is to improve its production and give the defense a chance to play with a lead this season. Lewis dropped another three balls last week versus the Jaguars, and his inability to stretch the defense has limited what the Ravens have been able to do offensively.

Cincinnati offense vs. Baltimore defense
BENGALS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 14
Pass 17
Tot. Yds. 15
Scoring 28
Int's allowed 11
Sacks allowed 34
   
RAVENS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 3
vs. Pass 1
Total yds. allowed 1
# of Ints. 8
# of Sacks 25
Turnover differential -7
When taking a look at film of the Bengals last four games, it becomes very clear that the offensive troubles are primarily due to the offensive line. Across the board, there are missed assignments, poor technique and horrific footwork that cause this unit to do little with the football.

It's easy to analyze the play of RB Corey Dillon and say that he is not running as well as he was in the first few games of the season, but he is being forced to dance too much because there is nothing opening up inside for the back to burst through. The problems are only going to get worse for this unit on Sunday when they run up against the third-ranked run-defense in the league that is only allowing 82.4 yards per game on the ground.

MLB Ray Lewis has been cleaning up in the middle of the field, mainly because of the play of his defensive tackles in front of him. Tony Siragusa, Larry Webster and Lional Dalton do an excellent job of taking on two blockers, which allows Lewis to roam. Teams are being forced to double-team at least one of the two tackles, which means that there is no interior lineman free to get out and chip Lewis.

There is no secret to how the Ravens are going to game plan against the Bengals offense. This is not a matchup where the Ravens need to take a lot of risks. The Ravens safeties are playing with great range and are enough help in the deep third so that Baltimore is not forced to bring in nickel personnel to defend against the Cincinnati's receiving corps on obvious passing downs.

If the Bengals get some protection up front, it seems as if the passing game is primed for a big performance. Over the span of the past two weeks, QB Jeff Blake seems to be on the same page with his receivers, and the receiving corps has begun to run crisper routes and gain separation downfield.

The biggest improvement here on film is the play of the tight ends, Tony McGee and Marco Battaglia. McGee and Battaglia are doing an excellent job of working downfield and making themselves available in the seams. They are taking advantage of teams' double-teaming WRs Darnay Scott and Carl Pickens. This is not only beneficial because of their recent production, but it is also going to force teams to adjust by starting to pinch their safeties more towards the center of the field, which will create more man-to-man matchups for the Bengal receivers.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category BAL CIN
Punt return avg. 25 20
Kickoff return avg. 23 3
Opp. punt return avg. 13 28
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 7 10
Time of possession 24 15
Matt Stover has had a tough go of it this season. He has already missed five of his first 18 field goal attempts and it looks like his mechanics are lost. Kyle Richardson has done what has been expected of him, averaging 42.9-yards per punt and dropping 21 punts inside the opponents twenty-yard line. The biggest concern has been the lack of big play coming from Jermaine Lewis as a punt return man, as he is averaging just 7.2-yards per return on 9 attempts. This mistake-prone unit has suffered from inconsistent punting, kicking and long-snapping all season. Kicker Doug Pelfrey is safely out of his slump, but punter Will Brice is mired in tough times with two blocks and two deflections. The answer: Kick the ball quicker. He must be moving forward when he catches the ball. Tremaine Mack had a 99-yard touchdown return on a kickoff, but he also fumbled the ball on a second half return.

Key matchups
  • Baltimore OT Jonathan Ogden vs. Cincinnati DE Michael Bankston
    Bankston's production off the edge is going to decline this week because of this matchup. Bankston is a quick defensive end with good technique and hand use, but he has trouble versus bigger and stronger offense tackles like Ogden. As long as Ogden can reach Bankston, he will make the defensive end a non-factor in both run defense and pass rush.

  • Baltimore FB Charles Evans vs. SS Myron Bell
    Bell has developed into a dangerous blitzer, but his ineffective tackling and finishing of plays is cause for concern. Charles Evans is seeing his role increase in the offense with each week, but he may be called upon to help in pass protection more on Sunday in order to give the quarterback more time to operate. Evans is not a prototypical blocking back, but he is efficient and should be able to lock onto Bell and finish the block.

  • Cincinnati WR Darnay Scott vs. Baltimore CB Chris McAlister
    This is an intriguing matchup on paper, but it may not pan out to be much on game day because of the Bengals' inability to get the ball to their receivers. McAlister is holding up well in his rookie year as a corner, but this ought to be a true test. The Ravens would like to not have to give McAlister much help from the safeties because they will have to play "cloud coverage" to Carl Pickens side, and they would like to use the other safety up closer to the line of scrimmage to create more of a pass rush. If Scott can make the Ravens pay early on in the game, it will force Baltimore to back off the pressure.

    Baltimore will win if...
  • Coach Brian Billick gets Erict Rhett the ball in the passing game. Rhett is a tough man to take down in the open field as he has proven over the course of the season, and he seems to be showing more as a receiver. His hands are solid and his routes are getting better each week. The Ravens can simplify their passing game by using the back more, and it will allow Rhett to become even more involved in the offense.

  • They pound the ball out off-tackle. Cincinnati's outside linebackers have done a terrible job of pinching inside versus the run, allowing teams to really wear out the Bengal's inside linebackers who are undersized to start with. ILB's Takeo Spikes and Brian Simmons are tough linebackers, but they have trouble stacking at the line of scrimmage in the 3-4 defensive alignment. Rhett is a bruising back that can wear this front out and pick up some big yardage late in the game.

  • OLB's Peter Boulware and Jaime Sharper are active in pass rush. The Bengals have gotten close to zero production lately out of their backs in the passing game. What this does is allow the Ravens to use their outside linbackers more frequently in the pass rush because they do not have to be as concerned about covering the back out of the backfield.

    Cincinnati will win if...

  • The defense can force Baltimore to win by throwing the ball. QB Tony Banks has only averaged 47.9% passing this season and has proven to be erratic and spastic when under pressure. The Bengals best chance of shutting down the Ravens offense is to stack the strong safety, Myron Bell in the "box" to stuff the run and crate more of a pass rush. This will force the Ravens to throw the ball and will give the Bengals a chance to come up with some big turnovers.

  • QB Jeff Blake takes some more chances down the field. At this point in the season for the Bengals, they have nothing to lose. It is time to take some chances down field and see what the talented receiving corps can do to spark this offense.

  • The league will certainly not try to sell this matchup as one of its most glamorous ones. The Ravens and Bengals will lock horns on Sunday in what should be one of the more dull contests of the NFL 17-week season. The Bengals have been able to do very little on both sides of the ball this season and look to have all but given up under the coaching of Bruce Coslet. Baltimore has a playoff defense, but the offense has been shut down just about every week, including a zero touchdown performance last week. The Ravens head into an empty CINergy field on Sunday and will add another digit in the win column with a big defensive performance and an offensive game plan that will put you to sleep.

    The War Room edge
    The league certainly won't try to sell this matchup as one of its most glamorous. In fact, it could be one of the more dull contests of the season. The Bengals have been able to do very little on either side of the ball and look to have all but given up under coach Bruce Coslet. Baltimore has a playoff defense, but the offense has been shut down just about every week, including a zero-touchdown performance last week. The Ravens head into an empty CINergy field on Sunday and will add another digit in the win column with a big defensive performance and an offensive game plan that will put you to sleep.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
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