COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
War Room: Week 11 player reports

War Room: Week 11 previews



 ESPN.com
NFL

COLLEGE FB

NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF ONLINE

BASEBALL

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Wednesday, November 17
War Room: Panthers at Browns


Carolina offense vs. Cleveland defense
PANTHERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 17
Pass 7
Tot. Yds. 6
Scoring 11
Int's allowed 12
Sacks allowed 34
   
BROWNS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 31
vs. Pass 15
Total yds. allowed 30
# of Ints. 7
# of Sacks 18
Turnover differential -13
Carolina, after struggling up front against the Rams a week ago, will get back on track against a Cleveland front seven that is getting beat up each and every week. The return of Tim Biakabutuka is going to revive a running game that has is averaging under 100-yards in total rushing since his injury.

The team will revert to the original plan of splitting time between Biakabutuka and Fred Lane to keep their backs healthy and fresh. That plan should work out to be a profitable one for head coach George Seifert. Biakabutuka is more explosive, but Lane is a better inside runner and is more suited to taking a pounding and staying on the field.

This is a good week to test out the dynamics of this system against a Cleveland defense that is allowing 172.4-yards per game on the ground. Cleveland's predicament is that they are undersized and lacking depth up front, but because of such a depleted and vulnerable secondary, they get little help in run-support from their safeties. The Browns looked steady last week against the Steelers, but that was an offense that poses little threat to throw the ball down field.

The Panthers love this matchup, because it gives them a chance to create more balance offensively. Expect to see the Panthers run a lot more four receiver sets to open up the offense and force teams to back off the pressure. They are looking to do so for a couple reasons. First, QB Steve Beuerlein is a much more efficient passer when he has time to sit back in the pocket and make reads. He is a veteran that makes good decisions with the ball, but he has had trouble beating the blitz. The other reason for opening up the offense is to create bigger running lanes between the tackles.

The Browns are undersized and usually are forced to turn to a heavy blitz package in order to create a pass rush. Against the Eagles two weeks ago, another team that likes to blitz a lot, Carolina frequently caught them out of position and were able to get some big-plays out of the passing game.

The team is finally taking advantage of the size and speed of WR Mushin Mahammad. The 6-2, 220 pound receiver does an excellent job of getting his body in position versus man-to-man coverage and he is an excellent neutralizer to the blitz. Beuerlein will be able to use his size as an advantage Sunday when he is matched up with CB Daylon McCutcheon on a lot of fade and "9-routes" that will eventually force Cleveland to back off the pressure and play more conservative.

Cleveland offense vs. Carolina defense
BROWNS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 29
Pass 30
Tot. Yds. 31
Scoring 31
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 37
   
PANTHERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 27
vs. Pass 16
Total yds. allowed 24
# of Ints. 4
# of Sacks 21
Turnover differential -8
The Browns have been more successful lately opening up the offense to create some room in the middle of the field. Head coach Chris Palmer has been pleasantly surprised by the mobility of Tim Couch and his ability to avoid the rush. The Browns have been working with a lot of four-receiver sets, in an I-back formation.

To counter the spread formation, Carolina is going to force Cleveland to throw the ball on 1st and 2nd downs by walking up SS Brent Alexander and playing more eight-men in the box sets. The Panthers, who are allowing 128.9-yards per game, are going to need the extra man to clog up the cut back lanes that RB Karim Abdul-Jabbar has been taking advantage of in the past couple of weeks. Jabbar is more suited to be the premier back in this system because he has some flair as a runner and can create some room on his own.

A major problem for Cleveland's running game has been the play of FB Marc Edwards as the isolation blocker in this scheme. When reviewing the last couple of Browns games, it becomes obvious that Edwards is having a lot of trouble finding his man when he gets to the line of scrimmage. He is taking poor angles and shows very little pop at the point of attack. If Edwards does not do a better job of making the iso-block, Cleveland's running game is going to do very little to sustain drives or set up the passing attack.

The biggest key to the Browns' passing game is the time that Tim Couch has to operate. The matchup to watch on passing downs is RT Orlando Brown versus LDE Antonio Edwards. Brown has been getting killed off the ball by quicker and more athletic defensive ends.

The Browns have been so concerned about the situation that they have had to keep the tight end in on a lot of passing downs to protect Couch's frontside. It is at the point where the Browns are better off getting Couch out of the pocket off of play fakes or on rollouts that allow Couch to get to the outside.

The Browns have been doing a much better job of creating matchups. They have been running a lot of high/low reads to one side that features Kevin Johnson and Leslie Shepherd split to one side. They are using a lot of crossing routes where Shepherd is working the underneath zone while Johnson is getting vertical.

To defend against this new set the Panthers will use "triangle coverage" to the heavy side, where two corners will lock up on Johnson and Shepherd and FS Mike Minter will play in the deep zone. The Panthers will be able to create a pass rush with just five and six men in the box because of Cleveland's troubles up front in pass protection.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category CAR CLE
Punt return avg. 30 27
Kickoff return avg. 6 18
Opp. punt return avg. 3 14
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 9 8
Time of possession 20 31
John Casey has been extremely reliable thus far, nailing 17-of his first-19 attempts. Michael Bates has been solid as the teams kickoff return man, averaging 25.4-yards per return, including a 100-yard touchdown run. Carolina's coverage units have been outstanding. The team is only allowing 5.0-yards per punt return and 19.9-yards per kickoff return. Chris Gardocki is still handling the load well as the Browns punter. He is averaging 44.0-yards per punt, but his lack of hang time has been a source of trouble because the coverage units have not been able to get in their lanes and down the field. Ronnie Powell has shown some flair as a kickoff return specialist. He has not been terribly consistent, averaging 22.8-yards per return, but neither has the blocking for him.

Key matchups
  • Carolina WR Mushin Muhammad vs. Cleveland CB Daylon McCutcheon
    Muhammad has established himself as an explosive deep-threat, averaging 15.8-yards per reception. McCutcheon has been solid in coverage for most of the season, but he has had some trouble with vertical receivers, and has a tendency to peak into the backfield too much and bite on the playfake. If McCutcheon has any mental lapses or takes false steps, Muhammad will make him pay.

  • Carolina OT Chris Terry vs. Cleveland DE Stalin Colinet
    This is a finesse matchup between two young players that have shown a lot of promise this season. Colinet has a great upside because of his speed and quickness, but he is undersized, and teams have been running the ball successfully to his side. The Panthers will try to do the same, but Terry is going to have to play with better leg drive and balance in the run game.

  • Carolina LB Dean Wells vs. Cleveland OC Dave Wohlabaugh
    Wells has replaced Steve Tovar as the starter at middle linebacker because the team hopes he will provide a spark to a struggling defense. Wells is proving to be a sound technician with an instinctive ability to hawk the ball. Wohlabaugh will be responsible for getting out and reaching Wells in the run game, and because of his quick feet and the good angles he takes, this matchup will come down to strength. Wohlabaugh will be able to reach Wells on most plays, but he needs to be able to lock on to the linebacker.

    Carolina will win if...
  • They get Wesley Walls down the seams in the passing game. The Panthers have had a great spark from its receiving corps, including the tight end Walls. When Walls is able to get off the line of scrimmage and down the seams, it forces secondaries to pinch towards the middle, giving the wide outs more room to work.

  • They run the ball to set up the passing game. The Panthers have found a solid running game between the duo of Tim Biakabatuka and Fred Lane. Carolina has great speed at the wide receiver position and will be best suited to use that speed off the play fake where they can gain some room because of false steps taken by coverage. If the Panthers take advantage of running the ball against one of the league's worst run-defenses, it will also set up some big plays from the passing game.

  • The defense attacks Tim Couch from the backside. Couch has been taking a lot of hits from his backside because defenses are coming after the rookie where he has less of a chance to see the rush coming. LT Lomas Brown and LG Jim Pyne are solid NFL lineman, but they have struggled at times with communication and have been missing assignments on occasion when teams are stacking their side.

    Cleveland will win if...

  • The offense runs the ball at OLB Kevin Greene. Greene still has a nose for the ball and can run and chase, but he has been somewhat of a liability this season when teams run at him. He has had trouble holding up at the point of attack, and when he gets locked on, he is struggling to shed the block.

  • They handle Sean Gilbert up front. Gilbert is back healthy now, and he has proven to be a force up the middle once again. Gilbert is the type of player that needs to draw constant attention, and the Browns may be best suited to double team the mammoth defensive tackle on inside running plays as well as on passing downs.

  • DT's John Jurkovic and Darrius Holland protect MLB Wali Rainer. Rainer continues to improve every game. He is the playmaker inside, showing a nose for the ball and great range for a middle linebacker. Rainer's one big liability is the fact that he has trouble getting over trash, and can be locked on when reached. If Jurkovic and Holland occupy the middle and give Rainer room to roam in the middle, the Browns will continue their improvement on run defense.

    The War Room edge
    The Browns, winners of two of their last three, keep on improving as a team each week even though they have a lot of young players that are close to hitting the wall physically and mentally. The Panthers are a surprising team this season, because of how adept they have been on both sides of the ball. Carolina has too many weapons on offense and should be able to shut down a Browns team that ranks last in the league in total offense. The Panthers will put this one in the book before the fourth quarter, picking on a Brown secondary that has trouble against deep speed at the receiver position.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.