Wednesday, November 17
 The War Room
Chicago offense vs. San Diego defense
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BEARS OFFENSE
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Ranking in the NFL:
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Run
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22
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Pass
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6
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Tot. Yds.
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8
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Scoring
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22
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Int's allowed
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15
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Sacks allowed
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24
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CHARGERS DEFENSE
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Ranking in the NFL:
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vs. Run
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12
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vs. Pass
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13
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Total yds. allowed
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11
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# of Ints.
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9
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# of Sacks
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21
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Turnover differential
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-15
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The Bears need to put last week's disappointing loss behind them and concentrate on running the football early. After piling up yardage on the ground two weeks ago against the Packers, RB Curtis Enis and Glyn Milburn were held to just 49 yards on 22 carries. A lackluster performance by the offensive line is the primary reason for the collapse and they must come out and play with more desire in the run game against a Chargers defense that is slowly beginning to wear down. The Bears were soft at the point of attack and allowed so much penetration that Enis was regularly side-stepping defenders deep in the backfield.
The Chargers once-dominant run defense hasn't played up to its capability since holding Seattle to just 61 yards on 27 carries in Week 6. San Diego must take away the run in order to win this football game. Chicago's offense is so diverse that it will be tough to stop if they maintain a good run/pass balance. San Diego, which had been playing with backup Greg Jackson in Rodney Harrison's free safety spot, will lineup with recently signed Reggie Rusk or rookie Jason Perry on Sunday. Reaching that far down the depth chart should have a devastating effect on the Chargers' run defense.
Chicago QB Jim Miller registered the fourth-best passing day in franchise history last week but keep in mind it was done against one of the league's slowest and worst defensive backfields. In last Sunday's loss to the Vikings, Miller received ideal protection and displayed a great feel for offensive coordinator Gary Crowton's offense.
The Bears have been successful offensively because Crowton gives opponents a tremendous amount of formations and plays to prepare for. For example, WR Marty Booker's 57-yard touchdown came on a middle screen that Crowton took with him from his college playbook at Louisiana Tech. Because no other team in the league feels comfortable running a risky play such as this, opponents rarely, if ever, prepare to defend it. The outstanding play of Booker and Marcus Robinson will let Curtis Conway rest his ankle for a sixth straight week.
The Chargers' starting cornerbacks, Terrance Shaw and Charles Dimry, were beaten repeatedly last week, so look for a shakeup in the secondary. Head coach Mike Riley would be wise to get playmaker Darryll Lewis back on the field. Lewis, who was outstanding early in the season in a relief role, will bring a more aggressive mentality to this unit.
San Diego offense vs. Chicago defense
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CHARGERS OFFENSE
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Ranking in the NFL:
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Run
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31
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Pass
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20
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Tot. Yds.
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28
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Scoring
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26
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Int's allowed
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18
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Sacks allowed
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27
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BEARS DEFENSE
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Ranking in the NFL:
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vs. Run
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24
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vs. Pass
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29
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Total yds. allowed
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28
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# of Ints.
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7
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# of Sacks
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28
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Turnover differential
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-13
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There are plenty of things wrong with the Chargers' offense but one thing that must improve is the chemistry between QB Jim Harbaugh and his receivers. Harbaugh is a mobile guy that likes to be creative outside the pocket and this style of play requires active receivers. Too often this season, San Diego's receiver corps has simply stood around instead of working to get open. TE Freddie Jones has come to Harbaugh's rescue many times over the past few weeks but the Bears will double him on Sunday and force others to make plays.
Despite giving up 345 yards through the air to Minnesota WR's Cris Carter and Randy Moss, the Bears secondary often had tight coverage but their inability to make plays on the ball killed them last week. Chicago also did a lousy job of tackling, which resulted in far too many yards after the catch. DC Walt Harris' late interception does not make up for he and SS Tony Parrish's inability to stop the big play. Look for San Diego to take a page out of Minnesota's playbook and take some deep shots to Charlie Jones, who is the only player capable of stretching the field.
The Bears must find a way to put pressure on Harbaugh and they'll have a tough time doing so strictly with their front four. Last week, San Diego's offensive line held up well, allowing just two sacks against a capable Raiders front. Chicago hasn't been afraid to rush five or six men but they will need to time their blitzes better in order to reach Harbaugh. Chicago's defensive backs have been a step too slow on the blitz and quarterbacks have had an easy time finding the vacated space in the secondary.
The Chargers failed to record a single rushing first down last week against the Raiders and their 2.1 per carry average is reflective of the sagging play up front. San Diego needs to establish something on its opening drive after gaining just 16 yards of net offense in the first quarter last week. San Diego's massive offensive line will have trouble with Chicago's quick, penetrating defensive line that is holding opposing runners to just 3.1 yards per carry.
The Bears linebackers struggled holding down their gap responsibilities last week and Minnesota took advantage for 110 yards. Rookie FB Jermaine Fazende made his pro debut at tailback last week and he played well despite some misleading numbers (13 att., 29 yds.). Fazende hit the holes when they were there but the lack of a passing threat enabled the Raiders to stack the line.
Special teams
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NFL RANK
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Category
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CHI
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SD
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Punt return avg.
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6
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26
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Kickoff return avg.
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13
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27
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Opp. punt return avg.
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16
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15
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Opp. kickoff ret. avg.
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2
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28
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Time of possession
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10
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18
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The Bears kicking game continues to struggle and they will probably have a new kicker come Sunday. Chris Boniol, who had made 94-of-101 career attempts from inside 40 yards prior to this season, has missed from 32, 24, 41, and 44 yards since joining the team. Last week, his 41-yard game-winning attempt sailed wide right, almost ensuring his departure. Boniol's struggles overshadowed great performances by P Todd Sauerbrun, who downed three attempts inside the 20, and RS Glyn Milburn's 25-yard punt return. San Diego P Darren Bennett is coming off one of his best games of the season, knocking three punts inside the 20 and booming a long of 59 yards. The Chargers return units have done little up to this point to scare the Bears. KOR Kenny Bynum's long on the season is 31 yards and PR Chris Penn hasn't broke anything longer than 18 yards.
Key matchups
Chicago FS Chris Hudson vs. San Diego QBs Harbauagh and Kramer
The Chargers' quarterbacks have been staring down their intended targets all season and Hudson must get a good jump on routes down the middle of the field. Hudson came up with a huge play two weeks ago in Green Bay and the Bears need more impact plays like that from him on Sunday.
Chicago TEs Mayes and Wetnight vs. San Diego OLB Lew Bush
Oakland's Rickey Dudley had great success in the red-zone last week and Bush needs to start playing more physical over the tight end. Chicago's wide receivers are playing well but San Diego can't forget about the middle of the field.
San Diego SS Jason Perry vs. Chicago RB Curtis Enis
Perry will start because of an injury to backup Greg Jackson, who started the past two games in place of Pro Bowler Rodney Harrison. The Chargers need a better effort than the one Jackson gave against the Raiders. Jackson had trouble filling the run and Enis poses problems similar to Tyrone Wheatley with his power.
Chicago will win if...
They continue to disguise looks defensively. The Bears have done an excellent job of showing one defensive look before backing out to confuse quarterbacks. San Diego's passing game has lacked timing all season because of instability at quarterback and the Bears must exploit this weakness.
RB Curtis Enis carries the ball between 23-28 times. Chicago has maintained balance offensively all season but they are much better off when Enis can carry the load. QB Jim Miller cannot be counted on to post huge numbers for a second straight week. Although he won't break many big gains against the Chargers' defense, Enis must consistently grind out positive yardage.
Offensive coordinator Gary Crowton does his homework. Last week, the Bears had the Vikings scouted extremely well and were able to exploit them for a couple of huge plays in the passing game. Crowton is having success with some plays-WR screen-that NFL teams are leery of implementing. His recent college background works in his favor because teams are not used to defending a lot of the things he does with his multiple-receiver sets.
San Diego will win if...
They take away one dimension of the Bears offense. Oakland had them at their mercy last week because they were able to run and throw with equal effectiveness. Without SS Harrison, it will be difficult to for the Bears to stuff the run so look for them to go after QB Jim Miller with plenty of blitzes.
The defense plays with more energy. This unit is visibly wearing down and they need to dig deep and come up with a strong effort. There is too much finger-pointing going on right now and coach Mike Riley needs to inspire this team.
The offensive line can handle the inside DT duo. The Chargers' put forth another sloppy effort up front, which resulted in just 33 yards on 16 carries. RDT Mike Wells will demand double-teams on run downs, which should open things up for MLB Sean Harris.
The War Room edge
The Chargers are a desperate football team that appears to be splitting at the seams. Mike Riley needs to get a win to prevent his locker room from erupting. Chicago is reeling after a hard-fought loss to Minnesota and they never play well on long West Coast trips. Bears QB Jim Miller has proven that he can move this team but the Chargers are much more disruptive than the Vikings. Look for a big game from the Chargers secondary and for them to end their four-game skid.
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