COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
War Room: Week 11 previews

War Room: Week 11 player reports



 ESPN.com
NFL

COLLEGE FB

NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF ONLINE

BASEBALL

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Wednesday, November 17
War Room: Rams at 49ers


St. Louis offense vs. San Francisco defense
RAMS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 12
Pass 2
Tot. Yds. 1
Scoring 1
Int's allowed 6
Sacks allowed 20
   
49ERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 21
vs. Pass 27
Total yds. allowed 27
# of Ints. 10
# of Sacks 17
Turnover differential -10
The Rams rebounded nicely after two losses on the road by burying the Panthers 35-10, marking the sixth time they have scored 34 points or higher. Look for the Rams to come out with play-action early in the game, looking to get RB Marshall Faulk isolated on OLB Lee Woodall in the open field. Woodall, who struggled in coverage last week against the Saints' Rickey Williams, will be more vulnerable the further Faulk works down the field. Faulk, Robert Holcombe, Jeff Robinson, and Amp Lee made the Panthers pay for sagging in deep coverage by combining for six receptions for 137 yards (22.8 avg.).

St. Louis has found ways to make big plays regardless of how opponents defend them and last week's dump-off strategy worked extremely well. The Niners were scorched for 316 yards through the air the last time these two teams met but their secondary will have a much different look on Sunday, especially at the corners. Rookie Pierson Prioleau and R.W. McQuarters, who are now starting in place of Darnell Walker and departed Mark McMillian, are more physical players but their lack of experience will be exploited by the Rams' multiple-receiver sets.

WR Issac Bruce is playing with a slight thigh bruise but that won't stop him from attacking the deep middle of the field, where the Niners have sorely missed the range of Lance Schulters the past two weeks. Bruce had five receptions for 134 yards and four touchdowns in Week 5 and he will certainly have another big afternoon if San Francisco again fails to generate a pass rush.

San Francisco reached QB Kurt Warner only once earlier in the year and that sack came on a blitz by SS Tim McDonald, who the Niners need to hold back in coverage. Defensive coordinator Jim Mora Jr. is getting nothing out of outside pass rushers Gabe Wilkins and Charles Haley. Wilkins hasn't recorded a sack all season and will have a hard time getting his first against LOT Orlando Pace. Haley has been quiet since his two-sack performance in Week 3 against Arizona.

The Rams have struggled creating much running room for Faulk the past few weeks and they must get things on track against a Niners defense that is allowing 111.4 yards per game on the ground. Offensive coordinator Mike Martz always has the short passing game as an option but the Rams seem insistent upon solving their problems up front against the drained Niners defense.

St. Louis needs to simplify a lot of what they are trying to do in terms of blocking schemes and concentrate on playing more physical. Faulk is the type of back that gets stronger as the game wears on, which makes it very difficult for opponents to mount a comeback if they fall behind early. Faulk churned out 56 of his 73 yards in the fourth quarter against the Panthers.

San Francisco offense vs. St. Louis defense
49ERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 11
Pass 25
Tot. Yds. 23
Scoring 20
Int's allowed 12
Sacks allowed 20
   
RAMS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 1
vs. Pass 20
Total yds. allowed 10
# of Ints. 13
# of Sacks 29
Turnover differential -9
The switch from Jeff Garcia to Steve Stenstrom didn't make much of a difference in last week's 24-6 loss to the Saints. Stenstrom's arm strength didn't compensate for his lack of mobility, as the Niners' passing game continued to lack big plays. Credit Stenstrom for at least taking a few shots downfield but this team must start taking advantage of their personnel on the outside.

San Francisco was successful moving the ball between the 20's but they stalled badly in the red-zone, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. To that point, the Niners have failed to score an offensive touchdown in last 12 quarters of play.

Compounding matters for coach Steve Mariucci is the health of WR Terrell Owens, who sprained an ankle last week on the Superdome turf. If Owens can play on Sunday, look for the Niners to use a lot of formation variation to get favorable matchups against a suspect Rams secondary. Mariucci is confident that RDC Dexter McCleon and nickel back Dre Bly, who won the job from Taje Allen last week, can be beaten but it's Stenstrom's job to deliver the ball.

St. Louis' blitz packages have produced very little pressure the past few weeks so look for them to drop back into a lot of zone coverage, leaving the pass rush duties to LDE Kevin Carter. The Rams' pass rush specialist has racked up 6.5 sacks in the past three games and will face familiar foe ROT Derrick Deese. The Saints ran a couple of stunts at Deese last week and wound up getting good heat from the left side.

San Francisco can't afford to fall behind early because it forces them to stray from their game plan. RB Charlie Garner, who is averaging almost two more yards per carry in the second half (6.3) than the first (4.5), has been their best weapon all season but quick deficits minimize his role in the offense.

The Rams stingy defense is giving up only 74.8 yards per game on the ground and has yet to allow an opposing back to record a 100-yard game. Those statistics are misleading because opponents have rarely had the luxury of running the ball after halftime. The Niners will be forced to use FB's Fred Beasley and Tommy Vardell more this week in lieu of Lawrence Phillips' pending release.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category STL SF
Punt return avg. 5 31
Kickoff return avg. 1 12
Opp. punt return avg. 9 5
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 27 31
Time of possession 8 21
St. Louis KOR Tony Horne burned the Niners for a 97-yard touchdown earlier in the season and he will be facing a depleted coverage unit on Sunday. The Niners will replace Phillips with Prioleau on kickoffs but the Niners have yet to scare anyone on returns this season. San Francisco PR R.W. McQuarters must provide a spark this week on the receiving end of Mike Horan's punts. Horan, the oldest punter in league history, averaged just 39.2 yards on five attempts last week but he gets enough hang-time to negate many return opportunities. San Francisco PK Wade Richey, who is 15-of-16 on the season, could be the difference if this one remains close.

Key matchups
  • St. Louis DC Todd Lyght vs. San Francisco WR Terrell Owens
    This is a complete role reversal from a year ago. Lyght is now having the best season of his career and Owens is struggling without Steve Young at quarterback. Owens has had success using his size against Lyght in the past, but his counterpart is playing with much more confidence than in the past.

  • San Francisco OLBs Woodall and Norton vs. St. Louis RB Marshall Faulk
    The Niners struggled in coverage against Ricky Williams a week ago, and Faulk does much of his damage on the flanks. St. Louis will keep San Francisco off balance with its ability to hit deep and then dump off to Faulk.

  • San Francisco DC Pierson Prioleau vs. St. Louis WRs
    The Rams use plenty of motion and formation variation to find the most susceptible member of the opposing secondary. Prioleau has shown some promise, but he is in way over his head against the Rams' talented trio.

    St. Louis will win if...
  • They don't come in overconfident. This would be an easy thing to do after their 42-20 Week 5 drubbing but this team learned a lesson from losing consecutive games a couple weeks back.

  • The spread the field and let their playmakers make plays. WR Issac Bruce scored four touchdowns in the previous meeting but this week it could easily be someone else. The Niners don't have enough cohesion in the secondary to contend with the Rams' passing game.

  • They don't allow QB Stenstrom to find a comfort level. St. Louis must get after Stenstrom because he can move a team if he finds a rhythm. The Rams didn't register a sack on QB Jeff Garcia back in October and he completed 22-of-36 attempts.

    San Francisco will win if...

  • The defense does a better job of defending the bootleg. Last week, the Saints recognized this as one of the Niners' weaknesses and they were able to exploit it with their limited weapons (QB Billy Joe Tolliver). Rams QB Kurt Warner isn't very mobile but he is very effective at selling the run and creating seams in coverage for his receivers.

  • They get six instead of three. The Niners have struggled converting touchdowns inside-the-20 and it is obvious they miss TE Greg Clark. San Francisco's red-zone offense relies heavily upon production from the tight end and without Clark teams are able to double WR Terrell Owens.

  • The offense takes care of the football. St. Louis' offense is too explosive to simply hand them field position and their defense scored two touchdowns last week. San Francisco can't play overly conservative but QB Stenstrom can't afford to take too many chances against this opportunistic defense.

    The War Room edge
    Coach Steve Mariucci is doing all he can to keep the motivation level high but his players are struggling to keep the competitive fire lit. Last week's loss at New Orleans was another low point for this team and it's unlikely they'll find a solution for St. Louis' up-tempo offense. The Rams rebounded well after stumbling against Tennessee and Detroit and should pull out another divisional win.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.