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Winston Cup Series




Thursday, October 23

More than battle for first
Scripps Howard News Service

Matt Kenseth
Kenseth
There was a time not too long ago when an Atlanta race weekend would have crowned a NASCAR points champion. But while that coronation is now reserved for Homestead, Fla., don't be mistaken -- there's still plenty at stake this Sunday.

Matt Kenseth may have a comfortable (though not insurmountable) cushion in the points race, but positions 2-6 all could change over the remaining four races. Here's a look at where we stand and what lies ahead:

  • Kevin Harvick (second in the standings, 240 points behind Kenseth) vs. Dale Earnhardt Jr. (third, 43 points behind Harvick). Harvick, who could be the only top-10 driver to finish the season without a DNF, is no doubt looking at what's ahead of him -- Roush Racing's Kenseth, who has led the championship race since the fourth race of the season, ironically, after the first Atlanta event.

    The Goodwrench driver's second half of the season has been nothing short of amazing. Eleventh in points after Michigan -- the 15th race of the season -- the Bakersfield, Cal., driver has stormed to the runner-up position, highlighted by a win at Indianapolis in the Brickyard 400.

    "We try not to look back at anything," said Harvick, who was running 22nd in points this time last year. "Obviously, you could look back to Richmond (wrecked by Ricky Rudd), or Chicago, where we ran out of gas running second and finished 17th, or Loudon, where we ran out of gas."

    But even rudimentary math skills can deduce that Harvick will need to knock off 60 points a race to catch Kenseth -- unlikely but possible. Harvick trimmed 201 points off Kenseth's lead over the last six races, a stretch in which Kenseth was 13th in points, but the No. 29 team will have to be better than that to claim another title for team owner Richard Childress.

    Earnhardt Jr., meanwhile, was 12th in the points one year ago heading into this race, and he's been as high as second. Atlanta has been one of his strongest tracks throughout his brief career. The Budweiser team has three consecutive top-five finishes at AMS, and four straight top-10 finishes. Junior has led each of the last four Winston Cup races at Atlanta for a total of 236 laps.

    Ryan Newman
    Newman

  • Ryan Newman (fourth, 300 points behind Kenseth) vs. Jimmie Johnson (fifth, six behind Newman). With eight wins and eight poles, Newman can't be counted out of any points race, and in the spring race at Atlanta he led 21 laps on his way to a 10th-place finish. Anything less than a pole this Friday and contending for the win on Sunday is probably unacceptable to the ALLTEL Dodge driver.

    Johnson seems to have a pretty good handle on these 1.5-mile tracks, as evidenced by his resounding win at Lowe's Motor Speedway in the Coca-Cola 600 in May. The Lowe's driver, however, experienced engine trouble at Atlanta in March, leaving him in 32nd-place and fourth in points.

  • Jeff Gordon (sixth, 40 behind Johnson). You can't ever count out a four-time Winston Cup champion, and Gordon, who recorded his second win of the year last weekend -- both at Martinsville -- posted a second-place showing at Atlanta early this year, trailing winner Bobby Labonte to the checkered flag after a bump-and-bang restart in the closing laps.

    The DuPont driver is the only drive in the standings who hasn't improved or slipped since last year -- he was running sixth in the championship race one year ago, but of all the drivers in the top 10 right now, he's riding the most momentum.

    Don't write off this points race just yet.

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