Betting tips for Western Conference finals: Mavericks-Warriors Game 5

Luka Doncic has averaged 36.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG and 8.8 APG in elimination games. AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez

All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

What you need to know for Game 5

Cooking With Curry: Golden State has failed to eliminate their opponent in their first try in all three rounds of the playoffs, but succeeded the next game in each of the previous two series In those two games, Stephen Curry accounted for 26.5% of Golden State's field goal attempts. He has gone 47.5% from the field and 45.8% from 3 in the series, so any usage bump tonight suggests Curry should be in a good spot to go over his point projection of 27.5 tonight.

-- Jim McCormick & Kyle Soppe

Breaking down Game 5

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors
9:00 p.m ET, Chase Center, San Francisco

Line: Warriors (-7)
Money line: Warriors (-320), Mavericks (+250)
Total: 215.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 226.7 points
BPI Win%: Warriors (63.3%)

Questionable: Otto Porter Jr. (foot)

Ruled Out: Andre Iguodala (neck)
Note: BPI numbers factor in players who are ruled out but assume questionable players will play

Notable: The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in close out games this postseason.

Best bet: Draymond Green over 22.5 points + assists + rebounds. Green is well known for his heroics in the playoffs. I would be shocked if he didn't turn in a monster performance with a chance to punch a ticket to the NBA Finals. The Warriors continue to play small-ball lineups giving Green more opportunities to score and rebound. He has averages 9.0 PPG, 4.8 APG, and 6.5 RPG during the postseason. -- Eric Moody

Best bet: Mavericks 1H (+3.5)

This play is all about the eye test. I still believe the Mavericks are comparable to Golden State -- they just need to hit their outside shots. When they do, they're very competitive with this Warriors team that is slightly overrated. Golden State's power rating is higher than it should be, compared to recent championship teams. Stephen Curry is spectacular, but the rest of the team is not on the same level as previous Warriors squads. Klay Thompson is not the same player, so Andrew Wiggins has assumed the role of secondary scorer, and while Draymond Green is still an excellent defender, his offensive game has deteriorated. Jordan Poole is not that much of an asset on defense, and I think the Warriors play with too much carelessness and apathy. I expect Dallas to keep this close in the first half, just like Denver and Memphis did in closeout games at Chase Center the previous two rounds. -- Doug Kezirian

Best bet: Stephen Curry over 27.5 points. The Warriors would be wise to lean on Curry's his off-ball movement to make life difficult for the Mavericks' defense in Game 5. Golden State will have extra motivation to win at Chase Center and Curry has averaged 27 PPG in home playoff games. -- Moody

Best bet: Jalen Brunson over 7.5 rebounds + assists. Brunson and Luka Doncic will continue to lead the way for Dallas. Brunson has 23.7% usage rate during this series and has averaged 9.4 rebounds + assists in each of the previous four games -- Moody

Best bet: Over 215.5 points. The Warriors have averaged 117.8 PPG in eight home games this postseason, the Mavs have a dramatic drop in defensive effectiveness on the road, While everyone assumes they will lose tonight down 3-1, that might give Dallas the license to play free and easy on offense in Game 5. It certainly helped in Game 4 as they scored 119 points. The Mavs put up 117 points in Game 2 at Chase Center and I expect both teams to score on Thursday, hitting well over the total. -- Snellings

Best bet: Luka Doncic over 52.5 points + assists + rebounds. After a slow start in Game 1, Doncic has picked up the pace hitting over 52.5 PAR in the past three games. He also has a history of going off in these types of games, averaging 36.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG and 8.8 APG when facing elimination -- Snellings