Win the Weekend: Come out on top with our fantasy and betting tips

Matt Bowen's matchups to exploit

• WR Justin Jefferson vs. Chargers' man-coverage schemes: Through two weeks, the Chargers have played the most man coverage in the league (68.9% of opponent dropbacks), with a mix of Cover 1 and 2-Man. Look for the Vikings to use motion and formation variations to give Jefferson free access off the ball to attack the L.A. secondary.

• QB Patrick Mahomes vs. Bears' Tampa 2 defense: The Bears have played Cover 2 on 37.3% of opponent dropbacks this season, the highest total in the league. With two safeties deep, expect Andy Reid to have pass game answers here, creating coverage voids for Mahomes to work the intermediate levels of the field.

• For more breakdowns, visit Matt Bowen's Film Room.

Mike Clay's Eliminator Challenge advice

• Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals: The Cowboys appear to be one of the league's top teams and, while we'll have plenty of opportunities to use them this season, their best projected win probability for the rest of 2023 falls here in Week 3. Their 91% win probability is also tops in the league this week, just ahead of the Chiefs (89%) and 49ers (89%). The 0-2 Cardinals are one of the favorites for the first overall pick in next year's draft and shouldn't be much of a threat to a superior Dallas team this Sunday.

• Follow Clay's Eliminator Challenge advice all season long and read more here for other tips for Week 2.

Al Zeidenfeld's DFS plays

• The Minnesota Vikings and Los Angeles Chargers game provides the highest total on the week (54), the fastest projectable pace of play and superstar players who correlate with one another, and it will be an extremely powerful and popular way to attack tournaments this week. Double stacking with either Justin Herbert or Kirk Cousins is Route 1 in Week 3, but you'll need to find value plays to wrap around those core stacks while also focusing on players with a lower percentage of the field to bring down your cumulative lineup percentage. Value plays such as Tank Dell ($3,600) and Isiah Pacheco ($5,400) can help you fit the premium stackable players while also being less widely held by the field.

• More DFS plays here.

Seth Walder's biggest edges from ESPN Analytics

• Dallas Cowboys D/ST anytime touchdown (+470 at FanDuel): This is as good of a defensive touchdown situation as you can possibly imagine. The best defense in the league against... Josh Dobbs and the Arizona offense? Dallas is going to get up big, the Cardinals will get desperate, and that's when pick-sixes happen. My model makes the fair price here +365, so you're getting nice value at this price.

• De'Vondre Campbell under 8.5 tackles + assists (-125 at DraftKings): Campbell is coming off a 14-tackle game, but I have him projected for just 7.4 this week. One reason? His playing time is down. After playing 100% of defensive snaps in most games last season, he has played 74% and 83% in his two this year, respectively. That's the kind of thing that makes the difference.

David Purdum's Action Report

• The two largest favorites on the board -- the Kansas City Chiefs and Cowboys -- were both attracting lopsided early action at DraftKings. The Chiefs (-12.5) had garnered 76% of the money on the spread in their game against the Bears. However, veteran Las Vegas bookmaker Chris Andrews of the South Point said the shop took influential money on the underdog Bears early in the week.

  Andrews added in a text message to ESPN that he saw early sharp action on the Vikings, Browns, Texans, Saints, Broncos, Commanders, Falcons, Raiders and Buccaneers.

  The Cowboys, who were 12.5-point favorites on the road in Arizona, had attracted 90% of the spread money at DraftKings as of Thursday. Double-digit road favorites this early in the season are rare. In the past 20 seasons, the only time a road team has been a favorite of at least 11 points within the first three weeks of the season was 2019, when the Patriots beat the Dolphins 43-0 as 18-point favorites.

• Road teams are 19-13 straight-up this season and 20-10-2 against the spread. The 19 outright wins is the most for visiting teams in the first two weeks since 1983.

• Pittsburgh Steelers at Las Vegas Raiders: Caesars Sportsbook opened the line at pick 'em Sunday night. The line grew to Raiders -2.5 on Tuesday. "Lot of that had to do with what happened Monday night [when the Steelers beat the Browns 26-22]," Adam Pullen, assistant director of trading for Caesars Sportsbook, said on the company podcast. "A lot of people were not impressed with [Steelers QB] Kenny Pickett. That makes sense why the Raiders are 2.5-point favorites."

Erin Dolan's 'Dolan Out Winners'