Week 11 features the highly-anticipated Super Bowl rematch pitting the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs opened as 2 1/2-point favorites and a 47.5 total which has since fallen two points. There are 13 other games to be played first, beginning with an AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens on Thursday, while the other prime time tilt of the week will feature the Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos on Sunday night.
Football Power Index (FPI) by ESPN Sports Analytics Group. Odds by ESPN BET.
Money Line: Pittsburgh Steelers (+115) ; Cleveland Browns (-135)
Total: 32.5; Opened: 38.5
FPI favorite: Browns by 1 (53% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Browns -4
The Steelers have covered seven of the last eight meetings. The last three meetings have gone over the total.
The Steelers have covered five straight games as a road underdog.
Unders are 51-24-1 in Steelers road games in the last 10 seasons, including 3-0 this season.
The Browns are 4-1 ATS at home this season (unders: 4-0-1).
Money Line: Chicago Bears (+340) ; Detroit Lions (-425)
Total: 48.5; Opened: 46.5
FPI favorite: Lions by 6.6 (68.9% to win outright)
The Lions have covered 11 straight division games, the 2nd-longest divisional cover streak in the Super Bowl era (2012-14 Colts: 13 straight).
Matt Eberflus is 8-17-2 ATS in his career, the 2nd-worst record of coaches to begin their career since 1966 (min. 25 games).
The Lions are 5-0 ATS against teams that currently have losing records this season.
Money Line: Los Angeles Chargers (-150) ; Green Bay Packers (+130)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 43.5
FPI favorite: Chargers by 5.9 (67.2% to win outright)
The Packers are 16-8 ATS after a loss under Matt LaFleur, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.
The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The Chargers are 1-4 ATS this season when the line is between +3 and -3.
Money Line: Las Vegas Raiders (+600) ; Miami Dolphins (-900)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 47.5
FPI favorite: Dolphins by 17.5 (90.5% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Dolphins -10
The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS as a favorite and 4-0 ATS at home this season.
The Raiders are 0-3 ATS against teams that currently have winning records. The Dolphins are 6-0 ATS against teams currently with winning records and 0-3 ATS against teams currently with losing records (Raiders are .500).
Each of the last eight meetings have gone over the total.
Money Line: New York Giants (+360) ; Washington Commanders (-450)
Total: 38.5; Opened: 37.5
FPI favorite: Commanders by 7.4 (71.1% to win outright)
The Commanders are 2-12 ATS as double-digit favorites since 1992 (6-8 outright).
Unders are 8-2 in Giants games, tied for the highest under percentage in the NFL (Raiders).
The Giants are 2-7-1 ATS this season including 1-5 ATS on the road.
The Commanders have covered three straight games.
Money Line: Dallas Cowboys (-600) ; Carolina Panthers (+450)
Total: 42.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: Cowboys by 13.5 (84.4% to win outright)
Road favorites of at least seven points are 0-8-1 ATS this season (4-5 outright). This is the second time a team has been a double-digit road favorite. In Week 3, the Cowboys lost outright as 11-point favorites in Arizona.
The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS as favorites this season with four straight covers. These trends also apply to teams currently with losing records. The Panthers are 2-6-1 ATS this season, including 1-4 ATS against teams currently with winning records.
Three straight Cowboys games have gone over the total. Three straight Panthers games have gone under the total.
Money Line: Tennessee Titans (+250) ; Jacksonville Jaguars (-300)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 40.5
FPI favorite: Jaguars by 7 (70.1% to win outright)
Mike Vrabel is 27-18-1 ATS in his career as an underdog (23-23 outright). He is 14-6 ATS as an underdog of at least four points (11-9 SU) and 9-3 ATS when getting at least six points (6-6 SU).
Seven straight Titans road games have gone under the total, including all five this season. The Titans are also 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS this season as favorites with three straight covers.
Money Line: Arizona Cardinals (+200) ; Houston Texans (-240)
Total: 47.5; Opened: 48.5
FPI favorite: Texans by 6.1 (67.6% to win outright)
The Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a favorite (1-5 SU), including 0-3 ATS this season (1-2 SU).
The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS this season on road).
Kyler Murray is 11-8 outright and 13-5-1 ATS in his career as a road underdog.
Money Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+475) ; San Francisco 49ers (-650)
Total: 41.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: 49ers by 11.8 (81.2% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened 49ers -10.5
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS on the road this season.
The 49ers are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite (10-2 ATS at home since start of last season).
Brock Purdy is 9-4-1 ATS in his career in the regular season, all as a favorite.
The Buccaneers have covered three straight games. Six of their last seven games have gone under the total.
Money Line: New York Jets (+290) ; Buffalo Bills (-360)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 40.5
FPI favorite: Bills by 11.1 (79.7% to win outright)
The Bills are 0-6 ATS in their last five games, 0-5 ATS in their last four games as a favorite, and 0-4 ATS in their last three games at home.
The Jets have covered three straight meetings including two outright wins as an underdog. The last four meetings have gone under the total.
The Jets are 10-22 ATS in division games since 2018
Money Line: Seattle Seahawks (+105) ; Los Angeles Rams (-125)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 44.5
FPI favorite: Rams by 1.8 (55.3% to win outright)
The Rams have covered six straight meetings including playoffs.
The Rams are 0-3 ATS in their last three games and 0-3 ATS in their last three games as an underdog.
The Seahawks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games in November or later.
Money Line: Minnesota Vikings (+125) ; Denver Broncos (-145)
Total: 40.5; Opened: 42.5
FPI favorite: Vikings by 2.6 (57.6% to win outright)
The Vikings have covered five straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL.
The Broncos are 3-5 outright and 1-7 ATS as a home favorite with Russell Wilson starting. They are 0-7 ATS when laying more than a point at home with Wilson.
Home favorites are 61-83-3 ATS in prime-time games in the last five seasons.
Money Line: Philadelphia Eagles (+125) ; Kansas City Chiefs (-145)
Total: 45.5; Opened: 48.5
FPI favorite: Chiefs by 3.6 (60.6% to win outright)
The Chiefs are 8-2 outright and 5-5 ATS off a bye under Andy Reid.
Five straight Chiefs games have gone under the total, the longest active under streak in the NFL and the longest under streak of Mahomes' career.
The Chiefs have covered four straight home games.
The Eagles are 3-6 ATS as underdogs under Nick Sirianni (0-3 ATS in last three instances).
Prime-time unders are 11-1 on Monday Night Football this season.