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| Sunday, October 7 Updated: October 8, 3:53 PM ET Miami no longer a lock to reach the Rose Bowl By Brad Edwards Special to ESPN.com |
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In college football, October means shakeup, and the excitement has already begun. Two contenders -- Texas and Tennessee -- saw their national title hopes hit dire straits following losses on Saturday. More teams will surely join them in the coming weeks. The first official release of the BCS Rankings is set for Oct. 22, so here's one last look at how things stand before the rest of America starts paying attention.
Stock up: Oklahoma Oklahoma's BCS potential is boosted by a strong remaining schedule that includes both Nebraska and the Big 12 title game (assuming an undefeated regular season) as well as an excellent chance to receive significant bonus points from its victory over Texas. The Longhorns have a good opportunity to finish 10-1 and get back fairly high into the rankings, while the champion of the Big 12 North should not be too far behind them at season's end.
Stock down: Miami
Miami's schedule strength will certainly improve, starting with this week's game against Florida State. But, as long as there are at least two other major-conference unbeaten teams, it remains important for the Canes that future opponents such as FSU, Washington and Virginia Tech continue to win. Each loss by those teams to an opponent other than Miami will hurt the Hurricanes' prospects to receive bonus points on Dec. 9. This translates to say that their chances of reaching Pasadena with one loss are not as good as those of most other contenders, and -- at this time -- it is still conceivable that an undefeated season might not be enough if none of their opponents finishes in the Top 10. The first cause for concern was losing the top spot in the AP Poll this week. Without being No. 1 in both polls, the Hurricanes are a lot more vulnerable to the possibility of being jumped.
Under the radar Fresno State didn't take the field on Saturday but had its worst weekend of the season by BCS standards. The Bulldogs' five non-conference opponents went 1-4, including an unexpected loss by Wisconsin to Indiana. The lone win was a big one, however, as Colorado put itself in position to challenge for the Big 12 North title with an upset over Kansas State. The Buffaloes now appear to be the only chance Fresno has to receive quality win points in the BCS formula. What was once a promising collection of non-conference foes now seems to be a predominantly mediocre group. Consequently, the chances of the Bulldogs reaching the BCS promised land are growing slimmer by the day.
If the season ended today...
Unofficial BCS Rankings
Inside the BCS Computers
BCS Game of the Week: Washington at UCLA The Miami-FSU game will be more significant within the BCS world only if the Seminoles win, knocking the No. 1 team in the coaches poll off that perch. Otherwise, it will simply be noteworthy that the one fixture in BCS title game history will be absent from that stage for the first time in four years. Brad Edwards is a college football researcher for ESPN. Inside the BCS appears weekly. |
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