COMMUNITY
 Letters to Editor
Send a letter
BACKSTAGE
 The Magazine
ESPN Radio


 ALSO SEE
Joe Theismann's Sunday night spotlight

War Room: Week 10 previews

Week 10 previews

Focal Point: Shanahan vs. Holmgren

Baxter Bits: Broncos at Seahawks

Week 10 picks

Week 10 injury report

NFL midseason report



 ESPN.com
NFL

COLLEGE FB

NBA

NHL

M COLLEGE BB

W COLLEGE BB

GOLF ONLINE

BASEBALL

SOCCER

EXTREME SPORTS


Thursday, November 11
War Room: Broncos at Seahawks


Denver offense vs. Seattle defense
BRONCOS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 15
Pass 10
Tot. Yds. 11
Scoring 15
Int's allowed 11
Sacks allowed 21
   
SEAWHAWKS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 20
vs. Pass 27
Total yds. allowed 26
# of Ints. 19
# of Sacks 22
Turnover differential +1
RB Olandis Gary's 108-yard effort against San Diego was not just another successful day on the job. The rookie's workmanlike performance came against a Chargers defense that had not given up a 100-yard game to a single runner in 27 games.

Seattle will have a tough time stopping Gary if they don't have all their personnel on the field. The Seahawks' reserves were adequate last week but still managed to give up a season-high 397 yards to a Bengals team that was averaging nearly 100 fewer yards per contest. The Bengals were running the ball well early but a quick deficit prematurely forced them to the air.

Denver's offensive line could get a huge reprieve if RDT Cortez Kennedy, MLB DeShone Myles, and LDE Michael Sinclair can't play. Backups like Matt LaBounty and rookie Lamar King each play with a great motor but neither has gotten the penetration that defensive coordinator Jim Lind's scheme requires.

Chris Miller will start for the second straight week and coach Shanahan will again go with a conservative game plan to protect him. Miller benefited from Gary's work on the ground and he made the big throws when necessary. Miller hooked up with WR Rod Smith five times and a couple of those completions came a critical times.

Injuries have deprived the Broncos of their veteran receivers and Smith is the only guy that looks comfortable adjusting his routes to opposing defenses. The Seahawks will probably designate DC Shawn Springs to Smith, leaving Willie Williams on little-known Andre Cooper. Williams, who was victimized for a 75-yard touchdown last week by Carl Pickens, should rebound this week, although his lack of size always makes him a target.

If Springs can neutralize Smith, the Broncos must find a way to get TE Byron Chamberlain involved. Chamberlain was held without a catch last week, which should never happen if the team is running the ball effectively. With so many key players out, Denver will look to establish the play-action and screen games in order to wear down the thin Seattle front four.

It would also work to Denver's advantage if they run a variation of the hurry-up offense. While they probably won't go with a no-huddle approach, coach Mike Shanahan will stress precision between plays to minimize the dead time that Seattle's defense will use to get rested. In doing so, Denver will slow Seattle's pass rush and make things easier on Gary late in the game. Gary's yards per carry drops from 4.4 in the third quarter to 2.9 in the fourth -- either a sign of fatigue or the line's inability to maintain consistency.

Seattle offense vs. Denver defense
SEAHAWKS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 23
Pass 19
Tot. Yds. 22
Scoring 11
Int's allowed 4
Sacks allowed 23
   
BRONCOS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 17
vs. Pass 7
Total yds. allowed 10
# of Ints. 10
# of Sacks 29
Turnover differential -18
The Seattle coaching staff has waited eight games to see what their version of the West Coast offense would look like with Joey Galloway at the "Z" receiver -- now they finally get their chance. While he won't get his normal workload, expect coach Mike Holmgren to have a handful of plays ready for Galloway to simply use his speed to beat defenders.

The Seahawks' offense is clicking so Holmgren must handle this situation delicately. Look for the Seahawks to continue getting the ball to WR's Derrick Mayes and Sean Dawkins down the middle of the field. Once Denver starts pinching the middle, that's when Holmgren will send Galloway on one of his patented go routes down the sideline.

Like Seattle, Denver had some injuries last week to key members of their front four that could cause depth problems on Sunday. Harold Hasselbach (injured eye) and David Bowens (ejection) are expected to return too, which should help improve a pass rush that is sorely missing RDE Alfred Williams.

Denver defensive coordinator Greg Robinson schemes better than any coach in the league to defend Holmgren's offense. Look for the Broncos to attack Kitna with a lot of blitz looks but then back out and drop seven men into coverage. If Denver rattles Kitna early with the blitz, they hope the young signal-caller will fear the rush and check out of plays when they stunt later in the game.

The biggest key to Seattle's recent blowout wins has been the running of Ricky Watters. In the Seahawks' six wins, Watters has averaged 3.9 yards per carry and in the two losses that figure drops to 2.2. Denver is giving up 104.3 yards per game on the ground and they must guard the flanks well on Sunday. Watters is gaining the bulk of his yardage on sweeps outside, which means RDE Maa Tanuvasa must concentrate on keeping contain against stud LOT Walter Jones, whose tremendous play in the run game has stabilized this unit through various changes in personnel. If Tanuvasa and LDE Neil Smith can't turn plays inside, it will be up to the outside linebackers to come up and make tough open field tackles.

Holmgren wants to utilize Galloway as much as possible so don't be shocked if they line him up in the slot and run him on a reverse to get him in the open field. Although this type of thing isn't typical of Holmgren, Galloway's return -- in a game of this magnitude -- warrants some risk taking.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category DEN SEA
Punt return avg. 29 1
Kickoff return avg. 4 10
Opp. punt return avg. 29 22
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 9 1
Time of possession 17 26
This could be a game that Seattle PR Charlie Rogers takes over. Holmgren deactivated him last week after two fumbles against Green Bay but look for him to come back strong this week. Rogers boasts the second-highest punt return average in the NFL and he will face one of the league's worst coverage teams. Backup tight end Deems May set up a touchdown last week on a tipped punt but he'll have a hard time getting to Denver's Tom Rouen, who has yet to have a punt blocked this season. Rouen, the second-rated punter in the league with a 47.9 gross average, gives the Broncos an edge in the kicking game because Seattle's Todd Peterson and Denver's Jason Elam are equally capable. An interesting battle will be waged between Denver's explosive rookie KOR Eric Watson (26.9 avg.) and the Seahawks' top cover unit. Seattle has surrendered a long of 35 this season on kickoffs.

Key matchups
  • Denver OLBs Romanowski & Cadrez vs. Seattle RB Ricky Watters
    After starting the season with six-straight games with fewer than 100 yards, Watters has compiled 258 yards the past two games, with the majority of those coming up outside the tackles. He would also like to makeup for his embarrassing 10-carry, 13-yard effort in the season finale last season.

  • Seattle front four vs. Denver OL
    Sam Adams and Michael Sinclair both sustained injuries that could limit Seattle's game plan and Denver must compensate for the loss of LOT Tony Jones, their best lineman. Jones' replacement, Trey Teague, was solid last week but RDE Phillip Daniels should give him fits.

  • Denver TE Byron Chamberlain vs. Seattle OLB Chad Brown
    Denver's passing game struggled last week because Chamberlain was taken out of the game by San Diego's aggressive defense. Brown must be physical and take away the middle of the field.

    Denver will win if...
  • They can continue to get strong play from the offensive line. Denver's OL paved the way for Olandis Gary's 108-yard performance against the Chargers and they'll need a similar performance against the Seahawks active defense.

  • DCs Crockett and Carter can take away Seattle's WRs in man coverage. Denver has the matchup advantages that they want on the perimeter that should allow them to blitz Kitna consistently on Sunday.

  • They pay special attention to the middle of the field. Holmgren has done an excellent job of devising ways to free people up in the middle third, which could expose FS Eric Brown's coverage deficiencies. If Derrick Mayes has been making plays in this area, look for Holmgren to implement a couple of plays specifically for Galloway.

    Seattle will win if...

  • Kitna doesn't try to do too much. Kitna has been very careful with the football thus far but his margin for error against the Broncos will be narrow, especially considering the different looks he will see up front. Seattle can't afford the interceptions he threw last week.

  • They can force some turnovers. The Seahawks have been one of the league's most opportunistic teams all season and the majority of individual matchups weigh in their favor. Seattle could be in for a huge game if they take out RB Gary early.

  • They get their home crowd behind them. Galloway's return will help, but this starts with being efficient in the first quarter. Seattle can't afford any big mistakes early.

    The War Room edge
    It's official, Holmgren has turned the Seahawks around. Denver hasn't faced a Kingdome crowd like the one they'll see on Sunday for years. It would be tough for the Broncos to win this game if they were entirely healthy, so there is no way they'll steal it with a collection of backups in starting roles. Seattle starts to separate from the AFC West pack on Sunday night.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


  •   ESPN INSIDER
    Copyright 1995-99 ESPN/Starwave Partners d/b/a ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved. Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form. ESPN.com Privacy Policy. Use of this site signifies your agreement to the Terms of Service.