News: 5 days agoTigers pitching coach Rick Anderson said he expects Boyd and the other four members of the Detroit rotation to be stretched out to 75-to-80 pitches by Opening Day, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Spin: That sort of pitch count would put Boyd in line for roughly five innings in his first start, keeping him on track to handle close to a normal workload in his subsequent turns thereafter. Boyd will continue to use summer camp to build up his pitch count, though he had already kept his arm conditioned during MLB's hiatus by tossing about one simulated game per week. Before the league-wide shutdown in spring training, Boyd had been working to make more use of his changeup and curveball as part of a four-pitch mix this season after leaning on the offerings only 6.1 and 4.0 percent of the time, respectively, in 2019 (per FanGraphs).
ESPN Fantasy Projection: Boyd just turned 29 but still carries some perceived upside, as some fantasy owners continue to speculate "what if ? ?" What if Boyd were traded to a better team? What if Boyd were able to fix his home run problem? The former seems like a strong bet to happen, but the latter does not. Even in 2018, Boyd had a well-above-average HR/9 (1.43) as a heavy fly ball pitcher. Last season, Boyd ranked among the elite in terms of swing-and-miss dominance and limiting walks, finishing eighth among qualified starters with a 23.9 K/BB%, ahead of Jack Flaherty, Stephen Strasburg and Charlie Morton, to name a few. However, the homers only crept up in the second half, saddling him with a 5.51 ERA and 1.38 WHIP after the All-Star break. Getting out of Detroit would help Boyd's value -- he has never cracked double-digit wins -- but at this point a dramatic ascent is unlikely.