Yankees' playoff hopes fading away

Updated: August 19, 2008

Nick Laham/Getty Images

The Yankees may finally see Carl Pavano return to the mound this weekend -- is it too late?

YANKEES NOT DEAD … YET

WEDNESDAY NIGHT BASEBALL

• Angels at Rays, 7:10 p.m. ET, ESPN

I was a little surprised last week when Hank Steinbrenner started talking about next season. I found the comments in sharp contrast to the attitude of Drayton McLane and the Astros, who were buyers at the trade deadline despite being seven games under .500. They got Randy Wolf in a trade and picked up LaTroy Hawkins. Even now, they're talking like they're in it, and they're 7½ games out of the wild card.

Steinbrenner made it seem like injuries were to blame for the Yankees' fate. Yet, when you look at it closer, the Yankees have used the disabled list 21 times this year, but so have the Mets -- and they are in first place. The Rays have used the disabled list 20 times, and they've lost Carlos Pena for a period of time, plus Evan Longoria, Carl Crawford and Troy Percival. Yet Tampa Bay is still in first place. So other teams have had injuries, too. Look at all the injuries the Cardinals have endured this year, and they're still in the race.

I don't think George Steinbrenner would have spoken the same way. Actually, I don't think the Yankees are completely out of the race yet. It will be very difficult for them to catch Boston, Tampa or the other teams in the wild-card race, like the White Sox and Twins. (The Yankees are 11 games back in the AL East and 6½ games back in the wild card.)

What went wrong this year? Pitching depth has been a question all season long for the Yankees, but their offense has been even more disappointing. They were thought to still have a dynamic offensive, but they have not been the team that most people expected. I think coming into the year, they knew they had some pitching issues and their depth wasn't great. I give a lot of credit to manager Joe Girardi and the Yankees players for continuing to battle. It's slim, but they've kept themselves in a position to still have a shot. Considering everything that has happened and the roster they've been dealing with, I think Girardi has done a pretty good job.

Carl Pavano looks like he is finally coming back, and while he might still have a chance to become a contributor, it's a sign of how bad things have gotten that a guy who hasn't given the Yankees anything in four years is now perhaps their biggest hope down the stretch. General manager Brian Cashman stuck to his guns and refused to give up their best prospects. I think they still believe they made the right decision in not seriously pursuing Johan Santana in the offseason. I understand that logic, but I still would have pursued Santana. I'd rather have a veteran because young prospects sometimes get you fired. Waiting for young guys to figure it out, especially in large markets where winning is the norm, can be dangerous. But the Yankees had reasonable logic for not trading for Santana, because the fallback can be CC Sabathia, who will be a free agent after this season. I expect the Yankees to be a big player for him, and Steinbrenner alluded to that in his recent comments, saying if they needed to get a front-line starter they're committed to doing that.

They haven't gotten much production from their young pitchers this year; plus, Melky Cabrera has taken a step back, as has Robinson Cano. They lost their ace in Chien-Ming Wang. They haven't gotten a typical year from Derek Jeter. Hideki Matsui has been injured for much of the season. They've had bullpen issues since Joba Chamberlain moved into the rotation.

A lot has to happen if the Yankees have any hope of making a run at the playoffs this year. They're going to need Joba back and they're going to need Pavano to come up big (or Phil Hughes, if they decide to go that route). They're going to need Andy Pettitte to be unbeatable down the stretch, and Mike Mussina to be as good as he's been all season long. On top of all that, they need the offense to come around. They've got to have a lot go right that hasn't been going right, but they have great character and it's still possible. I think it's too early to say they're completely dead, although they're getting close to that point.

Past Baseball Tonight Clubhouses: Aug. 18 | Aug. 17 | Aug. 14 | Aug. 13 | Aug. 12 | Aug. 11

TOUCH 'EM ALL

Touch 'Em AllWho went deep? Keep track of all the home runs hit each day on "Baseball Tonight" and on the Baseball Tonight Clubhouse page.

Click here to find out who hit the longest home run. For more, check out the Home Run Tracker page.

NAME HR OPPPITCHER SITUATION
W. Harris, Was10PhiBlantonTop 1: 0-1, 1 Outs. None on.
V. Guerrero, LAA23TBShieldsTop 2: 2-1, 0 Outs. None on.
S. Choo, Cle5KCHochevarBot 2: 0-0, 1 Outs. None on.
J. Varitek, Bos10BalCabreraTop 2: 3-1, 0 Outs. None on.
R. Garko, Cle10KCHochevarBot 4: 0-1, 0 Outs. None on.
K. Suzuki, Oak7MinSloweyTop 2: 0-0, 0 Outs. None on.
B. Buscher, Min4OakGallagherBot 2: 0-2, 1 Outs. 1 on.
K. Youkilis, Bos24BalCabreraTop 5: 1-1, 1 Outs. 1 on.
A. Lind, Tor9NYYRasnerBot 7: 3-2, 1 Outs. None on.
G. Sizemore, Cle28KCNunezBot 6: 0-0, 2 Outs. 2 on.
M. Joyce, Det11TexPadillaTop 5: 0-1, 0 Outs. None on.
N. Swisher, CWS19SeaHernandezBot 4: 3-2, 0 Outs. None on.
J. Werth, Phi17WasShellBot 8: 1-2, 1 Outs. None on.
J. Thome, CWS26SeaHernandezBot 5: 1-1, 0 Outs. None on.
G. Blum, Hou12MilSheetsTop 6: 1-2, 2 Outs. 2 on.
C. Davis, Tex12DetGalarragaBot 6: 1-2, 2 Outs. 2 on.
C. Gomez, Min6OakGallagherBot 5: 0-0, 2 Outs. 1 on.
M. Joyce, Det12TexPadillaTop 7: 1-2, 0 Outs. 2 on.
E. Renteria, Det7TexPadillaTop 7: 2-1, 0 Outs. None on.
A. Dunn, Ari33SDBanksBot 4: 1-2, 2 Outs. 1 on.
B. Hawpe, Col22LADKurodaTop 3: 0-0, 1 Outs. 1 on.
J. Cantu, Fla22SFHinshawTop 6: 2-0, 0 Outs. None on.

Comments

You must be signed in to post a comment

Already have an account?

BBTN ON THE AIR: WEDNESDAY

TIME WHO'S ON?
10 p.m. ET
ESPN
Host: Karl Ravech
Analysts: Peter Gammons,
Eric Young, Eduardo Perez
12 a.m. ET
ESPN
Host: Mike Hill
Analysts: Tim Kurkjian,
Fernando Vina

SPORTSNATION: ALL-TIME FRANCHISE PLAYERS

Rose/Bench"Baseball Tonight" wants to hear from you. Click here to vote for the all-time franchise players for all 30 big league teams.

"Baseball Tonight" and SportsNation agree: Ken Griffey Jr. is the greatest Mariners player in franchise history. Watch Wednesday when the Mets' best is revealed at 10 p.m. ET on "Baseball Tonight."

BASEBALL TONIGHT MINUTE: FATE OF THE YANKEES

MAKING A LATE PUSH

The bottom of the eighth inning Tuesday was a key inning in games involving teams in playoff races.

The Mets, Rays and Phillies all earned victories thanks to strong eighth innings, while the Yankees, whose hopes of a playoff appearance are getting slimmer by the moment, watched their game with the Blue Jays start to slip away in the eighth.

Great Eighth
Games decided in bottom of eighth Tuesday
Noteworthy
Rays def. Angels, 4-2 Remain tied with the Cubs for the best record in baseball.
Blue Jays def. Yankees, 2-1 A.J. Burnett strikes out 13, which is most by a Blue Jays pitcher vs. the Yankees.
Mets def. Braves, 7-3 Mets were 3-for-last-43 with bases loaded before Carlos Delgado's go-ahead hit.
Phillies def. Nats, 5-4 Jayson Werth's 50th career homer caps comeback win.

TUESDAY'S NOTEWORTHY PERFORMANCES

GOOD
A.J. Burnett• A.J. Burnett dominated the Yankees' lineup, striking out 13 over eight innings. He scattered five hits and allowed just one run in the Blue Jays' 2-1 win.
BAD
Jose Lopez• The Mariners had a hard time figuring out the four pitchers the White Sox used to toss a shutout in Seattle's 5-0 loss. Jose Lopez had the most problems, though. He went 0-for-4 and stranded six baserunners.
UGLY
Sean Gallagher• On the same night Rich Harden struck out 10 in a win for the Cubs, one of the players the A's got in exchange for Harden was pummeled. Sean Gallagher gave up 11 hits and 10 runs over five innings in a 13-2 loss against the Twins.

STAT OF THE DAY

Inside EdgeAccording to Inside Edge's scouting data, no pitching staff makes hitters chase pitches out of the zone more often than the Twins (30 percent). Of the seven pitchers with the best chase percentage in the majors, four of them are with the Twins, including three members of the starting rotation (Scott Baker, Nick Blackburn and Kevin Slowey).

Chase percentage
(min. 465 pitches out of strike zone, through Monday)
Pitcher Team Chase pct.
Ramon Ramirez Royals 32.8
CC Sabathia Brewers 32.5
Scott Baker Twins 32.3
Nick Blackburn Twins 32.2
Matt Guerrier Twins 32.1
Roy Halladay Blue Jays 31.7
Kevin Slowey Twins 30.6

FORWARD THINKING: WEDNESDAY

Francisco Liriano • A's at Twins, 1:10 p.m. ET: Francisco Liriano (3-3, 4.97 ERA) is 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA since returning from the minors. His numbers are nearly opposite from his first three starts of the season, when he went 0-3. In those starts, he issued 13 walks and struck out seven. During his current run, he has permitted seven walks and struck out 15. Dallas Braden (3-2, 4.50 ERA) is having trouble with lefties, who are hitting .317 against him.

Jered Weaver • Angels at Rays, 7:10 p.m., ESPN: Jered Weaver (10-0, 4.47 ERA) was solid in his only other start against the Rays this season, giving up just four hits and one run over eight innings in a June 10 win. Matt Garza (10-7, 3.63 ERA) is coming off his best outing of the season, a complete-game, nine-strikeout shutout against the Rangers.

Dan Haren • Padres at Diamondbacks, 9:40 p.m. ET: Dan Haren (13-6, 2.96 ERA) is 5-1 over his past six starts. He has 44 strikeouts against just seven walks during this run. Right-handers are hitting just .188 against Jake Peavy (9-8, 2.61 ERA).

• Complete list of pitching probables for Wednesday's games

FANTASY: PREVIEW OF WEDNESDAY'S GAMES

FantasySean Allen examines the pitching matchups in store for the 15 games on Wednesday's schedule.

Allen also looks at injuries and details player reports that could help shape the way you put together your roster for Wednesday. Daily Notes