Vazquez gets another shot in a big game

Updated: October 1, 2008

AP Photo/Morry Gash

Javier Vazquez has struggled in big games, as his manager has been sure to point out.

Vazquez looks for redemption

A look at Thursday's games:

White Sox at Rays

Ozzie Guillen has said that Javier Vazquez isn't a big-game pitcher. Yet Vazquez will be the White Sox's starter for Game 1 of the ALDS at Tampa Bay. Vazquez's September was interesting, to say the least. In his first three starts, he located his curveball for strikes and pitched very well. In his last three, his off-speed stuff was all over the place, and his pitches got pounded.

Vazquez, September 2008
First three starts Last three starts
W-L 2-1 0-3
ERA 1.83 13.50
BA against .188 .340
Curveball strike pct 57.7 45.2
Source: Inside Edge

Brewers at Phillies

The Brewers will look to get settled in Game 2 with CC Sabathia back on the mound. Sabathia was as good in his most recent start of the season as Cole Hamels was in Game 1 of the NLDS when he pitched eight strong innings against Milwaukee. Sabathia has been fantastic on three days' rest in his past three starts and will hope to avoid the form that resulted in a 10.45 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox in last year's ALCS.

Sabathia on three days' rest, 2008
W-L 2-1
ERA 0.83
BA against .195
IP-K 21 2/3-21

The Cubs and Dodgers don't quite know what they'll get out of their starters in Game 2 of their NLDS. Yes, Chad Billingsley is unbeaten in his past five starts, but the numbers show he's been very hittable. Likewise, Carlos Zambrano, despite tossing a no-hitter, has struggled in the rest of his recent outings. Those inconsistencies can drive managers crazy.

Billingsley, Zambrano (past five starts)
W-L 4-0 1-1
ERA 3.30 8.03
BA against .303 .232

Past Baseball Tonight Clubhouses: Sept. 28 | Sept. 25 | Sept. 24 | Sept. 23 | Sept. 22 | Sept. 21

RAYS NEED TO STAY CALM AMID EXCITEMENT

The key to the Tampa Bay Rays winning this ALDS with the White Sox is for them to continue to play at the level they've been playing at the whole year. Rays manager Joe Maddon has a World Series under his belt from his time with the Angels as their longtime bench coach. He knows exactly what it takes to win and he knows the intensity level that his team will need to reach in order to be successful in the postseason.

My concern for the Rays is their closer situation with Troy Percival being hurt. Another guy may have to step into the role if Percival's back acts up. If that happens, it'll be a guy who hasn't had a great deal of experience. There's going to be a lot of pressure, so it will be up to Percival's replacements to answer the bell.

As long as the Rays are able to get off to a quick start in Game 1, they will be OK. They can't let a veteran club like the White Sox grab Game 1 in Tampa Bay because Chicago then will ultimately have the upper hand in the series. Luckily, the Rays hold the best home record in the majors and have home-field advantage in this series. Another advantage the Rays have over the White Sox is their bench. Tampa Bay was able to push through the season to clinch the AL East title without the likes of Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton and Evan Longoria. The Rays' experienced bench will be the key throughout the chase for the AL pennant.

It's also important for the Rays not to become overwhelmed by the excitement that comes with being in the postseason. I know Maddon will do a great job of keeping the team grounded.


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BBTN ON THE AIR: THURSDAY

TIME WHO'S ON?
5:30 p.m. ET
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Host: Karl Ravech
Analyst: John Kruk, Tim Kurkjian, Peter Gammons, Eric Young
12:30 a.m. ET
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Host: Karl Ravech
Analyst: Peter Gammons, Tim Kurkjian, Eric Young

BBTN MINUTE: ROUGH START FOR CUBS

WEDNESDAY'S NOTEWORTHY PERFORMANCES

GOOD
Cole Hamels• Cole Hamels handcuffed the Brewers, permitting two hits over eight shutout innings. He struck out nine and walked one as the Phillies got their first postseason win since 1993.
BAD
Ryan Church• The Brewers, as a group, had a rough day at the plate Wednesday. But Prince Fielder had the worst of them all, going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts. Fielder also closed the regular season with a three-strikeout performance against the Cubs.
UGLY
Ryan Dempster• Ryan Dempster couldn't quite find the plate against the Dodgers, walking seven in 4 2/3 innings. On one rare occasion when he did throw a strike, James Loney lifted it for a grand slam as the Dodgers opened the series with a 7-2 win at Wrigley Field.

FORWARD THINKING: THURSDAY

James Shields • White Sox at Rays, 2:30 p.m. ET: The Rays enter as the most improbable story among the postseason participants. The White Sox enter … tired. Chicago needed to win each of its final three games just to get into the postseason. James Shields closed the regular season by going 3-0 over his final six starts. Javier Vazquez tries again in a big game. He has lost his past two outings after his performances in key situations were questioned by manager Ozzie Guillen.

CC Sabathia • Brewers at Phillies, 6 p.m. ET: If it seems as though it was only a few days ago that CC Sabathia pitched, well, it was. Sabathia goes to the mound on three days' rest for the fourth consecutive time. In each of those three outings he threw at least 105 pitches. Brett Myers' strong second half hit a skid in his final two regular-season starts, both losses. In those two outings, he gave up 19 hits and 16 runs in 8 1/3 innings.

Ryan Dempster • Dodgers at Cubs, 9:30 p.m. ET: OK, the question still stands: Which Carlos Zambrano shows up? The Cubs have been asking that for a few weeks now, wondering if it will be the pitcher who tossed a no-hitter or the one who has given up 37 runs in his other six starts since Aug. 9. Chad Billingsley, meanwhile, went 4-0 over his final five regular-season starts.

• Complete list of pitching probables for Thursday

STAT OF THE DAY

Inside EdgeAccording to Inside Edge's scouting data, ground-ball, run-scoring base hits can be killers in the postseason when every run is magnified. A hitter's best chance at getting a ground-ball base hit is when he goes right back up the middle. Here is how each playoff team has done at preventing base hits on ground balls back up the box with runners in scoring position this season:

BA against on ground balls up the middle with RISP
Team BA against
Phillies .273
Brewers .309
Cubs .343
Red Sox .366
White Sox .375
Dodgers .430
Angels .467