Week 11 NFL Eliminator Challenge tips, courtesy of Mackenzie Kraemer: The Ravens (80% chance to win) and Chargers (76%) are the two biggest FPI favorites this week. They will also be the two biggest FPI favorites next week. Ideally, use the Ravens this week and the Chargers next week. Outside of those two teams, the next-biggest FPI favorites this week are the Saints (74%) and, believe it or not, the Giants (71%). No other team is above 65%.
There will be no FPI vs. Vegas post this week. In lieu of that, I'll give you our four big difference games of the week right here. UConn +16.5 Fresno State -13 Michigan State PK Wake Forest +6.5 In all four of those contests FPI predicts a line that is at least five points different than Vegas, in the direction of the team listed. The weekly article, in which we select four "big difference" games each week, is 26-17-1 on the season entering this week.
CompLexity Gaming has partnered with WinStar World Casino and Resort in the first official gambling sponsorship between an American esports team and a licensed gaming provider. In mid-2017, compLexity was acquired by the Dallas Cowboys and Goff Capital, the investment arm for Dallas/Fort Worth area real estate mogul John Goff. In September, the Cowboys also struck a deal with Thackerville, Oklahoma-based WinStar, making it the first-ever NFL team to announce an official casino designation.
A look at the line movement on Falcons-Browns this week at the SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas. Line archive courtesy of Don Best Sports.
Here are the betting percentages on today's NFL games at William Hill sportsbooks:
A big decision is brewing between the betting majority and Las Vegas sportsbooks in the Patriots-Titans game. Just over an hour before kickoff, the SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas emphasized the Titans as the book's biggest need, followed by the underdog Raiders. Caesars and Station Casinos also pointed to the Titans as among their biggest decisions of the day.
The most popular pick at the Station Casinos sportsbooks in Nevada is the New England Patriots -6.5 over the Tennessee Titans. The number of bets on the Patriots was on pace to be a new high for one team this season, according to Station sportsbook director Jason McCormick. The book also needs the Browns, Dolphins, Raiders and Eagles, per McCormick.
Heading into Sunday morning, the early betting action at SuperBook at Westgate Las Vegas had been lopsided on nine of the day’s 12 games. Eighty percent or more of the early money wagered was on the Jets, Saints, Buccaneers, Patriots, Packers, Jaguars, Bears, Chargers and Eagles in their respective games.
What will a legal, fully mature sports betting market look like in the U.S.? Where will fantasy sports fit in? Here is our seven-part series on the future of sports betting.
Where do we stand in the move toward the legalization of sports betting in the United States? Here is ESPN Chalk's one-stop shop of all relevant content, now that the Supreme Court has struck down PASPA.
Check out ESPN's full calendar of sports-betting highlights through the rest of 2018.
All you need to know before making your picks. PickCenter's data comes from two main sources: TeamRankings and numberFire.