All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Thursday's top batter prop bets
Leody Taveras | OVER 0.5 HR (+910)
Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $41.30 EV
Alec Burleson | OVER 0.5 HR (+486)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.59 EV
Ryan O'Hearn | OVER 0.5 RBI (+212)
Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.66 EV
Patrick Wisdom | OVER 0.5 RBI (+212)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.50 EV
Nicky Lopez | UNDER 0.5 H (+183)
Projection: 43% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.77 EV
Thursday's top pitcher prop bets
Edward Cabrera | UNDER 5.5 K (-154)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.13 EV
Zebby Matthews | UNDER 4.5 K (+108)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.87 EV
Hunter Dobbins | UNDER 3.5 K (-120)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.43 EV
Bryan Woo | UNDER 6.5 K (-150)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.28 EV
Merrill Kelly | OVER 4.5 K (+107)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.57 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action.
Pittsburgh Pirates Game Total OVER:
The game total has gone over in eight consecutive contests at PNC Park. (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 9.5 @ +101
St. Louis Cardinals Team Total OVER:
St. Louis has gone over their team total in seven straight games. (+7.05 Units / 82% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ +114
Chicago Cubs Team Total UNDER:
The Cubs have gone under their team total in five consecutive games. (+5.25 Units / 103% ROI). Current odds: 6.5 @ -140
Baltimore Orioles Team Total OVER:
Baltimore has gone over this total in eight of their last 10 home games. (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -140