Checking in on the top 10 CB picks in the 2021 Draft as the nearest defender today, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Patrick Surtain: 1 reception allowed for -4 yards on 1 target over 28 coverage snaps. Jaycee Horn: 1 reception allowed for -1 yards on 1 target over 26 coverage snaps.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics145d ago

PJ Walker's touchdown pass to DJ Moore had an air distance of 67.6 yards -- the longest air distance completion in the Next Gen Stats era, since 2016.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics145d ago

The Chiefs won despite a massive error by Andy Reid punting on 4th-and-3 at the Raiders' 46 with 2:36 left, per ESPN's win probability model. Win probability had they gone for it: 78.3% Win probability by punting: 69.1%

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics165d ago

Haason Reddick pass rush win rate at edge Weeks 1-2: 4%, 58th/62 Weeks 3-4: 29%, T-6th/61 (ESPN / NFL Next Gen Stats)

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics172d ago

Dan Campbell has made a lot of good decisions on 4th down, but late Sunday against the Vikings he made a costly error. Campbell elected to attempt a FG while up 3 points on 4th-and-4 at the Vikings' 36. Win probabilities from ESPN's model based on the decision: Go: 89.6% Kick: 85.4% Punt: 90.0% So the model slightly preferred punt as the best option over going for it. But it substantially preferred either over attempting the FG. The difference between being up 3 and 6 late is very small.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics180d ago

Micah Parsons is just the fifth player to record back-to-back games with a pass rush win rate of 50% or higher. The other four: Von Miller, Dwight Freeney, Robert Quinn, Melvin Ingram.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics185d ago

Micah Parsons recorded a 54% pass rush win rate today, the highest by any player in Week 2 through the late afternoon window. He also had the highest pass rush win rate in Week 1. (ESPN / Next Gen Stats)

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics187d ago

Panthers' Jaycee Horn as nearest defender today: 1 reception allowed on 3 targets for 4 yards over 28 coverage snaps, per NFL Next Gen Stats.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics187d ago

Giants CB Adoree' Jackson as nearest defender today: 0 receptions allowed on 4 targets over 27 coverage snaps. (NFL Next Gen Stats)

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics187d ago

On the Chiefs' 4th-and-goal from the 1, Andy Reid made a massive error by attempting a field goal, according to ESPN's win probability model. WP go: 57.4% WP kick: 48.9% That's a costlier error than all three of Brandon Staley's first-half 4th-down mistakes combined.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics190d ago

In 2020 Bud Dupree's pass rush get off -- time to cross the LOS -- was 0.72 seconds. In 2021, in season after ACL tear, Dupree was at 0.87s. Today? 0.68s. Just one game, but it's a good sign for him, via NFL Next Gen Stats. (I should note he was also down at 0.84s in 2019. But still.)

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics194d ago

Jets top two corners as the nearest defender today, per NFL Next Gen Stats. D.J. Reed: 0 receptions allowed on 5 targets over 29 coverage snaps. Ahmad Gardner: 2 receptions allowed for 19 yards on 4 targets over 29 coverage snaps.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics194d ago

According to our model, the Steelers made a huge error by kicking on 4th-and-goal from the 2-yard line in the first quarter. Win probability had they gone for it: 44.4% Win probability by kicking: 40.3%

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics194d ago