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MLB betting tips for Saturday: Nick Kurtz set up for success

Nick Kurtz is a solid betting option for hitting as the Athletics face the Rangers. Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.


Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz


Saturday's top batter prop bets

Nick Kurtz | OVER 0.5 HR (+710)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $38.59 EV

Kyle Manzardo | OVER 0.5 HR (+710)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.87 EV

Jakob Marsee | OVER 0.5 RBI (+283)
Projection: 31% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.65 EV

Nick Kurtz | OVER 0.5 RBI (+217)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.15 EV

Myles Straw | UNDER 0.5 H (+114)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.81 EV

Saturday's top pitcher prop bets

Eury Perez | UNDER 5.5 K (-151)
Projection: 72% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.82 EV

Roki Sasaki | OVER 4.5 K (+125)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.51 EV

Jose Quintana | OVER 2.5 K (-145)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $23.12 EV

Michael Burrows | UNDER 5.5 K (-106)
Projection: 58% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.28 EV

Shane McClanahan | UNDER 5.5 K (-157)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.66 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season's play.

Chicago Cubs Moneyline:
The Cubs has won this bet in 10 straight games. (10-0) (+10.75 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: +119

Chicago White Sox Team Total OVER:
The White Sox's team total has gone over in seven straight games. (7-0) (+7.30 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -105

Kansas City Royals Game Total OVER:
(home) The Royals' game totals have gone over in five straight games. (5-0) (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -115