Expected Winning Percentage - 2026-2027


Year:
2026-27 NBA RPI Rankings
RKTEAMRPIWLPCTSOSPWRPFPAEWLEWP
1 Houston .673 7 1 .875 .606 0 954 851 7-1 .868
2 Memphis .555 6 1 .857 .455 0 861 771 6-1 .861
3 Detroit .603 6 1 .857 .519 0 783 702 6-1 .858
4 Minnesota .495 5 3 .625 .452 0 952 861 7-1 .840
5 Portland .588 5 1 .833 .506 0 721 656 5-1 .826
6 San Antonio .576 5 2 .714 .529 0 823 758 6-1 .795
7 Toronto .455 4 3 .571 .417 0 834 780 5-2 .751
8 LA Lakers .549 6 2 .750 .482 0 980 922 6-2 .732
9 Philadelphia .579 7 1 .875 .481 0 887 841 6-2 .707
10 Boston .532 5 2 .714 .471 0 805 764 5-2 .703
11 Cleveland .519 4 3 .571 .501 0 838 813 4-3 .622
12 Golden State .535 5 3 .625 .505 0 940 917 5-3 .601
13 Washington .439 4 3 .571 .395 0 766 752 4-3 .576
14 New Orleans .407 3 4 .429 .400 0 853 841 4-3 .558
15 New York .502 3 4 .429 .526 0 745 736 4-3 .550
16 Atlanta .497 4 4 .500 .496 0 922 912 4-4 .545
17 Oklahoma City .599 5 2 .714 .561 0 756 754 4-3 .511
18 Dallas .572 4 3 .571 .572 0 786 786 4-4 .500
19 Denver .534 3 3 .500 .546 0 680 694 3-3 .417
20 Indiana .334 2 6 .250 .362 0 894 925 3-5 .363
21 Miami .460 2 5 .286 .519 0 827 867 2-5 .314
22 LA .428 1 6 .143 .523 0 757 808 2-5 .254
23 Brooklyn .362 1 6 .143 .435 0 739 799 2-5 .216
24 Orlando .455 2 5 .286 .511 0 740 803 1-6 .206
25 Phoenix .500 1 4 .200 .601 0 561 614 1-4 .184
26 Utah .490 1 6 .143 .606 0 749 832 1-6 .150
27 Charlotte .494 3 5 .375 .533 0 779 869 1-7 .141
28 Milwaukee .406 1 6 .143 .493 0 778 869 1-6 .139
29 Sacramento .443 1 6 .143 .543 0 771 870 1-6 .120
30 Chicago .401 1 6 .143 .488 0 788 902 1-6 .097
Glossary
  • RK: Rank
  • RPI: Relative Percent Index
  • W: Wins
  • L: Losses
  • PCT: Win Percentage
  • PA: Points Against
  • EWL: Expected Win-Loss
  • EWP: Expected Winning Percentage
  • Relative Percent Index: The basic formula is 25% team winning percentage, 50% opponents' average winning percentage, and 25% opponents' opponents' average winning percentage.
  • Expected Winning Percentage and Win-Loss: Derived the Pythagorean 16.5 Method, the basketball adaptation of Bill James' Pythagorean theorem of baseball: Runs scored ^16.5 / (Runs scored ^16.5 + runs allowed ^16.5). This formula was designed to relate a team's points scored and points allowed to its won-lost record.